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The present article deals with intra-horizon risk in models with jumps. Our general understanding of intra-horizon risk is along the lines of the approach taken in [BRSW04], [Ro08], [BMK09], [BP10], and [LV19]. In particular, we believe that quantifying market risk by strictly relying on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179511
We present a new theory of homogeneous volatility (and variance) estimators for arbitrary stochastic processes. The … main tool of our theory is the parsimonious encoding of all the information contained in the OHLC prices for a given time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971110
We present a theory of homogeneous volatility bridge estimators for log-price stochastic processes. The main tool of … our theory is the parsimonious encoding of the information contained in the open, high and low prices of incomplete bridge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971317
We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the asset is driven by Brownian motion, an associated "master...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797695
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003549908
The main result of the paper is a formula for zero time-to-maturity limit of implied volatilities of European options under a broad class of stochastic volatility models. Based on this formula, we propose a closed-form approximation of the implied volatility smile. Numerical examples suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961401
We introduce a notion of volatility uncertainty in discrete time and define the corresponding analogue of Pengs G-expectation. In the continuous-time limit, the resulting sublinear expectation converges weakly to the G-expectation. This can be seen as a Donsker-type result for the G-Brownian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009518
We propose a novel time-changed L évy LIBOR market model for the joint pricing of caps and swaptions. The time changes are split into three components. The first component allows us to match the volatility term structure, the second generates stochastic volatility, and the third one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558358
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
We examine the relationship between MIDAS regressions and the estimation of state space models applied to mixed frequency data. While in some cases the binding function is known, in general it is not, and therefore indirect inference is called for. The approach is appealing when we consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518987