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This chapter gives an overview of current research in evolutionary finance. We mainly focus on the survival and stability properties of investment strategies associated with the Kelly rule. Our approach to the study of the wealth dynamics of investment strategies is inspired by Darwinian ideas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971097
We develop a dynamic model to study the interaction between obfuscation and investor sophistication in retail financial markets. Taking into account different learning mechanisms within the investor population, we characterize the optimal timing of obfuscation for a profit-maximizing monopolist....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971343
We introduce the concept of “negative bubbles” as the mirror image of standard financial bubbles, in which positive feedback mechanisms may lead to transient accelerating price falls. To model these negative bubbles, we adapt the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) model of rational expectation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979508
We evaluate how non-normality of asset returns and the temporal evolution of volatility and higher moments affects the conditional allocation of wealth. We show that if one neglects these aspects, as would be the case in a mean-variance allocation, a sighifiant cost would arise. The performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003548056
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003548059
In this paper, dynamic option-based investment strategies are derived and illustrated for investors exhibiting downside loss aversion. The problem is solved in closed form when the stock market exhibits stochastic volatility and jumps. The specification of downside loss averse utility functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550865
Our objective is to understand the trading strategy that would allow an investor to take advantage of quot;excessivequot; stock price volatility and quot;sentimentquot; fluctuations. We construct a general equilibrium model of sentiment. In it, there are two classes of agents and stock prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394257
In this paper we present a two period model, where the agent's preferences are described by prospect theory as proposed by Kahneman and Tversky. We solve for the agent's portfolio decision. Our findings are that the changes in portfolio weights depend crucially on the reference point and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394349
Evolutionary finance studies the dynamic interaction of investment strategies in financial markets. This market interaction generates a stochastic wealth dynamics on a heterogenous population of traders through the fluctuation of asset prices and their random payoffs. Asset prices are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961707
This article shows that the presence of portfolio constraints can give rise to rational asset pricing bubbles in equilibrium even if there are unconstrained agents in the economy who can bene t from the corresponding limited arbitrage opportunities. Furthermore, it is shown that when they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966068