Showing 1 - 7 of 7
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550860
We study how the framework of classical game theory changes when the preferences of the players are described by Prospect Theory instead of Expected Utility Theory. Specifically, we study the influence of framing effect and probability weighting on the existence and specific structure of Nash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550861
We present results from the first large-scale international survey on time discounting, conducted in 45 countries. Cross-country variation cannot simply be explained by economic variables such as interest rates or inflation. In particular, we find strong evidence for cultural differences, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971327
The paper first shows that financial market equilibria need not to exist if agents possess cumulative prospect theory preferences with piecewise-power value functions. This is due to the boundary behavior of the cumulative prospect theory value function, which might cause an infinite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550843
We study a number of large international military conflicts since World War II where we establish a news analysis as a proxy for the estimated likelihood that the conflict will result in a war. We find that in cases when there is a pre-war phase, an increase in the war likelihood tends to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009273181
Time preferences are central to human decision making; therefore, a thorough understanding of their international differences is highly relevant. Previous measurements, however, vary widely in their methodology, from questions answered on the Likert scale to lottery-type questions. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614519
We construct a derivative that depends on the SPY and VIX and, in this way, incorporates both the market risk premium and the variance risk premium. We show that the product's Sharpe ratio is higher than the SPY Sharpe ratio. If we invest $10000 into the product, the products' payoff is around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177147