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regardless of the size of potential losses. We allow for a range of confidence levels that depend on the loss magnitude. The key … ingredient is a benchmark loss distribution (BLD), i.e.~a function that associates to each potential loss a maximal acceptable … probability of occurrence. The corresponding risk measure, called Loss VaR (LVaR), determines the minimal capital injection that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900226
significant transient dependence between returns and (ii) the presence of large outliers (dragon-kings) characterizing the extreme …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412365
We consider the detection of multiple outliers in Exponential and Pareto samples -- as well as general samples that … block and sequential tests, are compared for their power and errors, in cases including no outliers, dispersed outliers (the … classical slippage alternative), and clustered outliers (a case seldom considered). We advocate a density mixture approach for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015110737
standard models as special cases. The loss distribution of a portfolio of contingent claims can be exactly and efficiently … the loss distribution and multi-name credit derivatives prices. An empirical exercise illustrates the flexibility of our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619282
A new model class for univariate asset returns is proposed which involves the use of mixtures of stable Paretian distributions, and readily lends itself to use in a multivariate context for portfolio selection. The model nests numerous ones currently in use, and is shown to outperform all its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009313940
The class of mixed normal conditional heteroskedastic (MixN-GARCH) models, which couples a mixed normal distributional structure with GARCH-type dynamics, has been shown to offer a plausible decomposition of the contributions to volatility, as well as excellent out-of-sample forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721353
Time series of financial asset values exhibit well known statistical features such as heavy tails and volatility clustering. Strongly present in some series, nonstationarity is a feature that has been somewhat overlooked. This may however be a highly relevant feature when estimating extreme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009273102
To ensure that central counterparties (“CCPs”) are safe in all market conditions the European Union (EU) has adopted legislation, commonly known as the European Market Infrastructure Regulation (“EMIR”) that deals with their organisational requirements, including prudential requirements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296075
Using option market data we derive naturally forward-looking, nonparametric and model-free risk estimates, three desired characteristics hardly obtainable using historical returns. The option-implied measures are only based on the first derivative of the option price with respect to the strike...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619056