Showing 1 - 10 of 338
. The latter involves decisions under ambiguity, decisions under risk, decisions after gaining experience and decisions …We assess the ability of different risk profiling measures to predict risk taking along a multi-stage decision process … after receiving outcome information on previous decisions. We find that in all decisions risk taking can be predicted by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874728
Investor behavior was shown to be considerably different when the risk-return tradeoff is presented by experience … investors are faced with multiple decisions over time and are consequently able to adjust the risk level they initially chose … new form of risk simulation in which wealth paths over time are presented rather than just final outcomes. After investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870656
We use novel data on individual activity in a sports betting market to study the effect of past performance sequences on individual behavior in a real market. The revelation of fundamental values in this market enables us to disentangle whether behavior is caused by sentiment or by superior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338735
Realized divergence gauges the distinct realized moments associated with time-varying uncertainty and is tradeable with divergence swaps engineered from delta-hedged option portfolios. Consistently with established notions of symmetry in arbitrage-free option markets, implied divergence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507861
This paper addresses the question of optimal currency exposure for a risk-and-ambiguity-avers international investor. A … robust mean-variance model with smooth ambiguity preferences is used to derive the optimal currency exposure. In the … regression. Through the lens of these results, we demonstrate that our ambiguity-based model offers a new explanation of the home …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271218
We build a macroeconomic model for Switzerland, the Euro Area, and the USA that drives the dynamics of several asset classes and the liabilities of a representative Swiss (defined-contribution) pension fund. This encompassing approach allows us to generate correlations between returns on assets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442892
Downside-Beta Comovement and Upside-Beta Comovement is the main driving force for market level skewness. An indicator called … "Systematic Downside Risk" (SDR) is defined to characterize this asymmetry in the comovement of betas. This indicator negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442899
We conduct a laboratory experiment to study whether people intuitively use real-option strategies in a dynamic investment setting. The participants were asked to play as an oil manager and make production decisions in response to a simulated mean-reverting oil price. Using cluster analysis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971337
Many tests of asset pricing models address only the pricing predictions - but these pricing predictions rest on portfolio choice predictions which seem obviously wrong. This paper suggests a new approach to asset pricing and portfolio choices, based on unobserved heterogeneity. This approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003549745
We consider dynamic sublinear expectations (i.e., time-consistent coherent risk measures) whose scenario sets consist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797677