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We introduce an ensemble learning method for dynamic portfolio valuation and risk management building on regression trees. We learn the dynamic value process of a derivative portfolio from a finite sample of its cumulative cash flow. The estimator is given in closed form. The method is fast and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013192065
The forward-looking nature of option market data allows one to derive economically-based and model-free risk measures. This article proposes an extensive analysis of the performances of option-implied VaR and CVaR, and compare them with classical risk measures for the S&P500 Index. Delivering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899623
We model the financing, cash holdings, and hedging policies of a firm facing financing frictions and subject to permanent and transitory cash flow shocks. We show that permanent and transitory shocks generate distinct, sometimes opposite, effects on corporate policies and use the model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519080
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483009
This study yields a contribution to a better understanding of the interest rate sensitivity of real estate and should enable a more sophisticated interest rate risk management, especially for insurance companies and pension funds. This is achieved by modelling the whole life of a typical but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979505
We investigate whether corporate finance incentives affect the extent of corporate hedging with property insurance. Using a database that contains detailed insurance information, we show that firms buy property insurance to reduce the expected costs of distress. Further, we document a scale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961332
A standard repurchase agreement between two counterparties is considered to examine the endogenous choice of collateral, the feasibility of secured lending, and welfare implications of the central bank's collateral framework. As an innovation, we allow for two-sided counterparty risk. In line...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962085
This article examines how fi rms facing volatile input prices and holding some degree of market power in their product market link their risk management with their production or pricing strategies. This issue is relevant in many industries ranging from manufacturing to energy retailing, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750629
Regulators dedicate much attention to the option that financial institutions in distress have to transfer losses to their creditors. It is generally recognized that the existence of this option provides intermediaries with a powerful incentive to keep firm capital close to the minimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009751151
This paper analyzes optimal prevention in a situation of multiple, possibly correlated risks. We focus on probability reduction (self-protection) so that correlation becomes endogenous. If prevention concerns only one risk, introducing a second exogenous risk increases the level of prevention...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256952