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We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
perceived noise trading. The model captures several empirical findings. It explains why returns on high-volume trading days tend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338765
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487128
This chapter gives an overview of current research in evolutionary finance. We mainly focus on the survival and stability properties of investment strategies associated with the Kelly rule. Our approach to the study of the wealth dynamics of investment strategies is inspired by Darwinian ideas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971097
We develop a dynamic model to study the interaction between obfuscation and investor sophistication in retail financial markets. Taking into account different learning mechanisms within the investor population, we characterize the optimal timing of obfuscation for a profit-maximizing monopolist....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971343
-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) model of rational expectation bubbles with a hazard rate describing the collective buying pressure of noise traders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979508
We evaluate how non-normality of asset returns and the temporal evolution of volatility and higher moments affects the conditional allocation of wealth. We show that if one neglects these aspects, as would be the case in a mean-variance allocation, a sighifiant cost would arise. The performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003548056
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003548059
In this paper, dynamic option-based investment strategies are derived and illustrated for investors exhibiting downside loss aversion. The problem is solved in closed form when the stock market exhibits stochastic volatility and jumps. The specification of downside loss averse utility functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550865
Our objective is to understand the trading strategy that would allow an investor to take advantage of quot;excessivequot; stock price volatility and quot;sentimentquot; fluctuations. We construct a general equilibrium model of sentiment. In it, there are two classes of agents and stock prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394257