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The acceleration effect and gamma factor in asset pricing
Ardila, Diego; Forró, Zalán; Sornette, Didier - 2015
We report strong evidence that changes of momentum, i.e. "acceleration", defined as the first difference of successive … returns, provide better performance and higher explanatory power than momentum. The corresponding Γ-factor explains the … momentum-sorted portfolios entirely but not the reverse. Thus, momentum can be considered an imperfect proxy for acceleration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411974
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Robust reverse engineering of cross-sectional returns and improved portfolio allocation performance using the CAPM
Ni, Xiaohui; Malevergne, Yannick; Sornette, Didier; … - 2011
. CAPM, Mean-Variance Portfolio Optimization, Constrained Optimization, Fama-French, Value-Size Portfolios, Dynamical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009611
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Cross-section without factors : correlation risk, strings and asset prices
Distaso, Walter; Mele, Antonio; Vilkov, Grigory - 2021 - This version: January 13, 2021
Many asset pricing theories treat the cross-section of returns volatility and correlations as two intimately related quantities driven by common factors, which hinders achieving a neat definition of a correlation premium. We formulate a model without factors, but with a continuum of securities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421289
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Average skewness matters!
Jondeau, Eric; Zhang, Qunzi - 2015
Average skewness, which is defined as the average of monthly skewness values across firms, performs well at predicting future market returns. This result still holds after controlling for the size or liquidity of the firms or for current business cycle conditions. We also find that average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412455
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Crude awakening : oil prices and bond returns
Jondeau, Eric; Zhang, Qunzi; Zhu, Xiaoneng - 2019
Oil price changes fail to predict asset returns because they are too noisy. We construct an oil trend factor that filters out noise and provide evidence that it predicts bond risk premia well. This result holds in developed and emerging countries, both in sample and out of sample. Notably, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012003274
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Cross-sectional and time-series tests of return predictability : what is the difference?
Goyal, Amit; Jegadeesh, Narasimhan - 2015
We compare the performance of time-series (TS) and cross-sectional (CS) strategies based on past returns. While CS strategies are zero-net investment long/short strategies, TS strategies take on a time-varying net-long investment in risky assets. For individual stocks, the difference between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296939
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Mispricing and uncertainty in international markets
Sandulescu, Mirela; Schneider, Paul - 2021
We develop Residual MisPricing (RMP), an index capturing mispricing relative to a linear benchmark asset pricing model, from the structure imposed by no-arbitrage. RMP is fully conditional and depends only on the returns of basic assets. Return data for several economies reveal that RMP is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487677
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Are REITs real estate? : evidence from international sector level data
Hoesli, Martin; Oikarinen, Elias - 2012
The aim of this study is to examine whether securitized real estate returns reflect direct real estate returns or general stock market returns using international data for the U.S., U.K., and Australia. In contrast to previous research, which has generally relied on overall real estate market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558452
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Infrequent random portfolio decisions in an open economy model
Bacchetta, Philippe; Van Wincoop, Eric; Young, Eric R. - 2021
returns, a significant impact of financial shocks, excess return predictability, and asset price momentum and reversal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012801368
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Value around the world
Caliskan, Nilufer; Hens, Thorsten - 2013
We show that in a consumption-based asset-pricing model with hyperbolic discounting leading to dynamically inconsistent time preferences value premium increases nonlin-early with the degree of discounting and thus affects cross section of returns. To test our model empirically, we relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009751115