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These notes are strongly motivated by practitioners who have been seeking for advise in stochastic claims reserving modeling under Solvency 2 and under the Swiss Solvency Test. There have been tremendous developments since the publication of our first book Stochastic Claims Reserving Methods in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412274
The aim of this contribution is to revisit, clarify and complete the picture of uncertainty estimates in the chain-ladder (CL) claims reserving method. Therefore, we consider the conditional mean square error of prediction (MSEP) of the total prediction uncertainty (using Mack's formula) and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293560
Popular yield curve models include affine term structure models. These models are usually based on a fixed set of parameters which is calibrated to the actual financial market conditions. Under changing market conditions also parametrization changes. We discuss how parameters need to be updated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412102
These notes aim at giving a broad skill set to the actuarial profession in insurance pricing and data science. We start from the classical world of generalized linear models, generalized additive models and credibility theory. These methods form the basis of the deeper statistical understanding....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625588
Machine learning techniques make it feasible to calculate claims reserves on individual claims data. This paper illustrates how these techniques can be used by providing an explicit example in individual claims reserving
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621308