Showing 161 - 170 of 279
Using an agent-based model (ABM) with fundamentalists and chartists, prone to develop bubbles and crashes, we demonstrate the usefulness of direct market intervention by a policy maker, documenting strong performance in preventing bubbles and drawdowns and augmenting significantly the welfare of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271219
We examine whether the relationship between managerial risk-taking incentives and bank risk is sensitive to the … underlying macroeconomic conditions. We find that risk-taking incentives provided to bank executives are associated with higher … bank riskiness during economic downturns. We attribute this finding to the increase in moral hazard during macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271222
We analyze the relationship between ask and transaction prices in the Swiss residential real estate market over the 2005-2015 period. First, we present strong evidence that ask and transaction prices are co-integrated across different market segments, but they do not Granger-cause one another....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011626361
We develop a tractable model to study the macroeconomic impacts of limited arbitrage by linking arbitrage activities with the macroeconomy through collateralization. We show that the interactions between speculative trading and the business cycle can work as a powerful transmission mechanism,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011626467
We assess the quantitative implications of the re-use of collateral on financial market leverage, volatility, and welfare within an infinite-horizon asset-pricing model with heterogeneous agents. In our model, the ability of agents to re-use frees up collateral that can be used to back more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011626567
We analyse the consequences of predicting and exploiting financial bubbles in an agent-based model, with a risky and a risk-free asset and three different trader types: fundamentalists, noise traders and "dragon riders" (DR). The DR exploit their ability to diagnose financial bubbles from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051958
extent of this debt overhang varies with bank characteristics. Our model predicts that riskier banks face higher debt … overhang from CoCos. Our empirical analysis confirms that riskier banks are less likely to issue CoCos than their safer … counterparts. Since under Basel III banks are expected to raise equity prior to CoCo conversion, riskier banks that anticipate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100896
Inspired by the question of identifying the start time τ of financial bubbles, we address the calibration of time series in which the inception of the latest regime of interest is unknown. By taking into account the tendency of a given model to overfit data, we introduce the Lagrange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877499
We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe's law based on network properties, a fundamental value is quantified and shown to be heavily exceeded, on at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877663
We propose a dynamic Rational Expectations (RE) bubble model of prices with the intention to exploit it for and evaluate it on optimal investment strategies. Our bubble model is defined as a geometric Brownian motion combined with separate crash (and rally) discrete jump distributions associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865575