Showing 1 - 10 of 347
In this paper, we propose an easy-to-use yet comprehensive model for a system of cointegrated commodity prices. While retaining the exponential affine structure of previous approaches, our model allows for an arbitrary number of cointegration relationships. We show that the cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507774
A major obstacle for research in international asset pricing and corporate finance has been a lack of reliable and publicly available data on international common risk factors and portfolios. To address this gap, we provide a step-by-step description of how appropriately screened data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798062
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
based on averages of past futures returns, normalized by their volatility. We test these strategies on a universe of 64 … asset class, realized futures volatility is contemporaneously negatively related to the Fama and French (1987) market (MKT … in trading costs. We construct measures of momentum-specific volatility, both within and across asset classes, and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
predictive variance. We show theoretically how this adjustment factor affects both average and volatility of excess returns. We … related to excess volatility as predicted by the model. Further confirming the model's implications, we also show how stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487731
;excessivequot; stock price volatility and quot;sentimentquot; fluctuations. We construct a general equilibrium model of sentiment. In it … that rational investors can do optimally to exploit, and hence, eliminate excessive volatility, except in the very long run.quot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394257
- and out-of-sample, using predictive variables such as the dividend yield or the volatility risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721331
Pastor and Stambaugh (2012) demonstrate that from a forward-looking perspective, stocks are more volatile in the long run than they are in the short run. We investigate how the economic constraint of non-negative equity premia aspects predictive variance. When investors expect non-negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011876206
speculate on the volatility of the underlying asset, here a common stock. Using a continuous-time trading model, we demonstrate … that the quality of the private information regarding the volatility parameter together with the relative transaction costs … further show that in the presence of imprecise volatility signals, only the quot;most sophisticatedquot; traders (those with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003970302
We derive representations for the stock price drift and volatility in the equilibrium of agents with arbitrary …, intrinsic characteristic of the aggregate dividend process that we call the "rate of discounting volatility" and show that, in … equilibrium, the size of market price of risk is determined by the market price of discounted dividend volatility (DDV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971106