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of the parameters driving the risk-neutral conditional distributions and term structure of volatility, thereby enhancing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256394
We incorporate a latent stochastic volatility factor and macroeconomic expectations in an affine model for the term … and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey forecasts of GDP growth and inflation. We find relatively stable inflation … risk premia averaging at 40bps at the long-end, and which are strongly related to the volatility factor and conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
We propose a model-free method for measuring the jump skewness risk premium via a tradingstrategy. We find that in the S&P 500 option market, the premium is positive and greater inabsolute terms than the variance premium. The trading strategy allows for examining the premiumin different holding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051990
while allowing for aggregate stochastic volatility. We find that the bulk of yield dynamics comes from short rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179422
respectively by CBOE's VIX and their newly-launched swap rate volatility index -- SRVX -- exhibit significantly distinct behaviors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750617
In a tractable stochastic volatility model, we identify the price of the smile as the price of the unspanned risks … traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a …-form and structural models of stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
against volatility risk increases after a market drop. This effect is stronger for short horizons and more persistent for long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899885
advantages: i) ensures nonnegative interest rates, ii) easily accommodates unspanned factors affecting volatility and risk …, volatility, and risk premium dynamics — including when interest rates are close to the zero lower bound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338764
In the first three decades of CRSP data, value stocks have higher betas than growth stocks. Later on, the ranking is reversed and the gap in beta widens. What makes growth strategies nowadays bear more market risk than value strategies? What are the causes of the reversal in the ranking of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966097
We identify local and global factors across international bond markets that are poorly spanned by the traditional level, slope and curvature factors but have strong forecasting power for future bond excess returns. Local and global factors are jointly significant predictors of bond returns,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009483