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One of the most complex systems is the human brain whose formalized functioning is characterized by decision theory. We present a quot;Quantum Decision Theoryquot; of decision making, based on the mathematical theory of separable Hilbert spaces. This mathematical structure captures the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962110
This short review presents a selected history of the mutual fertilization between physics and economics, from Isaac Newton and Adam Smith to the present. The fundamentally different perspectives embraced in theories developed in financial economics compared with physics are dissected with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411863
We propose a new parametrization of Quantum Decision Theory (QDT), based on Rank Dependent Utility Theory (RDU). Using experimental data made of choices between pairs of lotteries, we compare QDT with "classical" decision theories, RDU and Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT). At the aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612940
Humans are notoriously bad at understanding probabilities, exhibiting a host of biases and distortions that are context dependent. This has serious consequences on how we assess risks and make decisions. Several theories have been developed to replace the normative rational expectation theory at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219210
In this paper, I estimate the effect of mandatory greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions disclosure on corporate value. Using the introduction of mandatory GHG emissions reporting for firms listed on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange as a source of exogenous variation, I find that firms most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412402
We use payroll data in the Austrian, German, and Swiss banking sector to identify incentive pay in the critical banking segments of treasury/capital market management and investment banking for 67 banks. We document an economically signifi cant correlation of incentive pay with both the level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442879
We argue that risk sharing motivates the bank-wide structure of bonus pay. In the presence of financial frictions that make external financing costly, the optimal contract between shareholders and employees involves some degree of risk sharing whereby bonus pay partially absorbs earnings shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938641
In geographically segmented credit markets, local real estate booms can deteriorate the funding conditions for small manufacturing firms and undermine their growth and competitiveness. Based on exogenous variations in the administrative land supply across 202 Chinese cities, we show that real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899931
How households shift spending across firms in response to income fluctuations is an important source of risk to individual firms. Using transaction-level data, we study how households interact with the universe of retailers following changes in income. We find that increases in income, both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219284
Following surprise independent director departures, affected firms have worse stock and operating performance, are more likely to restate earnings, face shareholder litigation, suffer from an extreme negative return event, and make worse mergers and acquisitions. The announcement returns to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979510