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In this paper, we document evidence that downside betas tend to comove more than upside betas during a financial crisis, but upside betas tend to comove more than the downside betas during financial booms. We find that the asymmetry between Downside-Beta Comovement and Upside-Beta Comovement is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442899
Many asset pricing theories treat the cross-section of returns volatility and correlations as two intimately related quantities driven by common factors, which hinders achieving a neat definition of a correlation premium. We formulate a model without factors, but with a continuum of securities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421289
Prediction (or information) markets are markets where participants trade contracts whose payoff depends on unknown future events. Studying prediction markets allows to avoid many problems, which arise in some artificially designed behavioral experiments investigating collective decision making...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009295796
In the first three decades of CRSP data, value stocks have higher betas than growth stocks. Later on, the ranking is reversed and the gap in beta widens. What makes growth strategies nowadays bear more market risk than value strategies? What are the causes of the reversal in the ranking of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966097
We complement the conditional CAPM by introducing unobservable long-run changes in risk factor loadings. In this … variation in betas, our approach circumvents recent criticisms of the conditional CAPM. When tested on portfolios sorted by size … and book-to-market, our learning-augmented conditional CAPM fails to be rejected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966158
We document a curious feature of the German mutual fund industry. Unlike U.S. mutual funds, funds domiciled in Germany do not necessarily compute their net asset values (NAV) as of market close. Using a sample of German equity funds, we infer each fund's NAV closing time from the best-fit market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009751161
We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for the estimation of the pricing kernel. Historical stock returns and option market data are combined through the Dirichlet Process (DP) to construct an option-adjusted physical measure. The precision parameter of the DP process is calibrated to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506354
We argue that takeover protections decrease equity value and increase equity risk and stock returns by removing a valuable put option to sell equity when firms approach financial distress. We investigate these claims empirically by looking at the dynamics of equity prices, equity risk, and stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419693
We report strong evidence that changes of momentum, i.e. "acceleration", defined as the first difference of successive returns, provide better performance and higher explanatory power than momentum. The corresponding Γ-factor explains the momentum-sorted portfolios entirely but not the reverse....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411974
We provide a new method to derive the state price density per unit probability based on option prices and GARCH model. We derive the risk neutral distribution using the result in Breeden and Litzenberger (1978) and the historical density adapting the GARCH model of Barone-Adesi, Engle, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973040