Showing 1 - 10 of 522
We study a number of large international military conflicts since World War II where we establish a news analysis as a … proxy for the estimated likelihood that the conflict will result in a war. We find that in cases when there is a pre-war … phase, an increase in the war likelihood tends to decrease stock prices, but the ultimate outbreak of a war increases them …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009273181
results offer a preview of the challenging economic impact of the Russia-Ukraine war …In the build-up to and especially in the weeks after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, stocks strongly exposed to the …. Analysts increased their earnings estimates for these stocks. The stock price effects were strongest in the US. In Europe, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013192064
Donald Trump's election and his nomination of Scott Pruitt, a climate skeptic, to lead the Environmental Protection Agency drastically downshifted expectations on US climate-change policy. We study firms' stock-price reactions and institutional investors' portfolio adjustments after these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011937082
The impact of U.S. bank loan announcements on the stock prices of the corporate borrowers has been decreasing during the two last decades with estimated two-day cumulative abnormal returns slipping from almost 200 basis points in the beginning of the 1980s to close to zero by the turn of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412303
We revisit the apparent historical success of technical trading rules on daily prices of the DJIA index from 1897 to 2011, and use the False Discovery Rate as a new approach to data snooping. The advantage of the FDR over existing methods is that it selects more outperforming rules which allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961414
Average skewness, which is defined as the average of monthly skewness values across firms, performs well at predicting future market returns. This result still holds after controlling for the size or liquidity of the firms or for current business cycle conditions. We also find that average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412455
We find that option expensiveness, as measured by delta-hedged option returns, is higher for low-ESG stocks, indicating … that investors pay a premium in the option market to hedge ESG-related uncertainty. We estimate this ESG premium to be … about 0.3% per month. All three components of ESG contribute to option pricing. We find that investors pay the ESG premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012593635
This paper evaluates the impact of a screening process based on Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) scores for an … improvement of the targeted ESG score without reducing the risk-adjusted performance but with significant biases in regional … profile. In particular, ESG-tilted portfolios lead to large negative exposure (i.e., protection) to credit risk. Screening …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800004
This paper investigates whether news suggestive of irrationality within financial markets have an impact on stock returns. We construct a lexicon of words for 'market irrationality' and score daily news articles based on the number and proportion of words they contain from the lexicon. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412095
This study investigates how three regulatory reforms undertaken in the aftermath of the global financial crisis have affected returns of real estate companies. The three reforms are aimed at regulating different segments of the market – Basel III targets banks, and could restrict the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514259