Showing 1 - 10 of 519
We study how the framework of classical game theory changes when the preferences of the players are described by Prospect Theory instead of Expected Utility Theory. Specifically, we study the influence of framing effect and probability weighting on the existence and specific structure of Nash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550861
This paper introduces a model-free decomposition of S&P 500 forward market index returns in terms of realized and implied dispersion, downside, and tail risk using option portfolios. The decomposition lends itself by construction to learn about the different sources of risk in the market return,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507822
Realized divergence gauges the distinct realized moments associated with time-varying uncertainty and is tradeable with divergence swaps engineered from delta-hedged option portfolios. Consistently with established notions of symmetry in arbitrage-free option markets, implied divergence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507861
We consider a stochastic model of a financial market with one-period assets and endogenous asset prices. The model was initially developed and analyzed in the context of Evolutionary Finance with the main focus on questions of "survival and extinction" of investment strategies (portfolio rules)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761279
The fixed rate tender is one of the main operational formats used by central banks in the implementation of their monetary policies. While academic research has largely dismissed the procedure for its tendency to encourage overbidding, central banks such as the ECB and the Bank of England have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797780
Evolutionary Finance focuses on questions of "survival and extinction" of investment strategies (portfolio rules) in the market selection process. It analyzes stochastic dynamics of financial markets in which asset prices are determined endogenously by a short-run equilibrium between supply and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865449
The paper investigates the relationship between the investment holding horizon and liquidity. I confirm and expand … short period carry more of liquidity risk. This means that short term investors load on liquidity risk when making …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258742
-term investors are sensitive to interest rate movements and supply liquidity, whereas mutual funds, with shorter investment horizon … and benchmark constraints, demand liquidity. Price impact increased post-crisis for all institutions and has remained … higher than the pre-crisis levels, signaling a general decline in bond market liquidity due perhaps to regulatory changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421461
We show how distributions can be reduced to low-dimensional scenario trees. Applied to intertemporal distributions, the scenarios and their probabilities become time-varying factors. From S&P 500 options, two or three time-varying scenarios suffice to forecast returns, implied variance or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012003165
Central-bank collateral policy governs the convertibility of assets into central-bank money provided directly by the central bank. Focusing on government bonds, we develop clean identification of variation in such convertibility by exploiting differential treatment of same-country government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799625