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We propose a new asset-pricing framework in which all securities' signals are used to predict each individual return. While the literature focuses on each security's own- signal predictability, assuming an equal strength across securities, our framework is flexible and includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271188
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486914
remaining oil reserves, our method gives a better description of future oil production, as validated by our back-tests starting … in 2008. Specifically, we predict remaining reserves extractable until 2030 to be 188 ± 10 million barrels for Norway and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411857
This chapter gives an overview of current research in evolutionary finance. We mainly focus on the survival and stability properties of investment strategies associated with the Kelly rule. Our approach to the study of the wealth dynamics of investment strategies is inspired by Darwinian ideas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971097
distributions are compiled from a set of portfolio trajectories computed by a resampling procedure. The nonconvex optimization … problem arising from our model specification is solved with a heuristic optimization technique. Our preliminary results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979515
We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequency for ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates and Bayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797745
This paper considers the nonlinear theory of G-martingales as introduced by Peng in [16, 17]. A martingale representation theorem for this theory is proved by using the techniques and the results established in [20] for the second order stochastic target problems and the second order backward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798300
We survey several models of liquidity and liquidity related problems such as optimal execution of a large order, hedging and super-hedging options for a large trader, utility maximization in illiquid markets and price impact models with price manipulation strategies
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798305
resources, and the European Emission Trading Scheme is an example. By means of dynamic optimization in the contest of firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961380
In the recent work of Dempster, Evstigneev and Taksar (2006) it has been shown that the von Neumann-Gale model of economic dynamics can serve as a convenient and natural framework for the analysis of questions of asset pricing and hedging under transaction costs. The present article focuses on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961438