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ffine property, we compute the nominal and inflation-indexed bond prices explicitly. We derive no-arbitrage drift conditions … for the factor process. Then, we perform a novel hedging analysis where our objective is to replicate an indexed bond of a … U.S. bond data and perform an in-sample hedging analysis. Having relatively small in-sample hedging errors, we validate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257509
Many bond portfolio managers argue that bond laddering tends to outperform other bond investment strategies because it … reduces both market price risk and reinvestment risk for a bond portfolio in the presence of interest rate uncertainty …. Despite the popularity of bond ladders as a strategy for managing investments in fixed-income securities, there is surprising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966082
We document an inverse relation between stock-bond correlations and correlations of growth and inflation. We find that … rising inflation uncertainty lowers stock prices but can either lower or raise nominal bond prices depending on whether … important drivers of stock-bond correlations during the countercyclical period 1965-2000 while output shocks dominated during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684165
we label Convergence Gap (CG), contains information that is valuable for bond predictability. Adding CG in forecasting … regressions of bond excess returns significantly raises the R-squared, and restores countercyclical variation in bond risk premia … the path of rates, our factor has predictive ability for real bond excess returns. The importance of the gap remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134247
This paper examines a canonical stochastic overlapping generations model with dynamically complete markets. Belief differences lead agents to place bets against each other and so wealth shifts across agents and across generations. Such changes in the wealth distribution strongly affect prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979514
We study an economy populated by three groups of logarithmic agents: Constrained agents subject to a portfolio constraint that limits their risk-taking, unconstrained agents subject to a standard nonnegative wealth constraint, and arbitrageurs with access to uncollateralized credit. Such credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257492
We study a dynamic general equilibrium model with costly-to-short stocks and heterogeneous beliefs. The closed-form solution to the model shows that costly short sales drive a wedge between the valuation of assets that promise identical cash flows but are subject to different trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013169098
We build a model of investment and financing decisions to study the choice between bonds and bank loans in a firm's marginal financing decision and its effects on corporate investment. We show that firms with more growth options, higher bargaining power in default, operating in more competitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258730
We present a theory in which the key driver of short-term debt issued by the financial sector is the portfolio demand for safe and liquid assets by the nonfinancial sector. This demand drives a premium on safe and liquid assets that the financial sector exploits by owning risky and illiquid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412482
the variation of excess bond risk premia in the sample. Additionally, the factor unveils differences between monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870652