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ffine property, we compute the nominal and inflation-indexed bond prices explicitly. We derive no-arbitrage drift conditions …This study deals with the pricing and hedging of inflation-indexed bonds. Under foreign exchange analogy we model the … for the factor process. Then, we perform a novel hedging analysis where our objective is to replicate an indexed bond of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257509
We document an inverse relation between stock-bond correlations and correlations of growth and inflation. We find that … rising inflation uncertainty lowers stock prices but can either lower or raise nominal bond prices depending on whether … inflation is counter- or procyclical. We show that the time-varying comovement of growth and inflation has important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684165
we label Convergence Gap (CG), contains information that is valuable for bond predictability. Adding CG in forecasting … regressions of bond excess returns significantly raises the R-squared, and restores countercyclical variation in bond risk premia … the path of rates, our factor has predictive ability for real bond excess returns. The importance of the gap remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134247
This paper examines a canonical stochastic overlapping generations model with dynamically complete markets. Belief differences lead agents to place bets against each other and so wealth shifts across agents and across generations. Such changes in the wealth distribution strongly affect prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979514
We develop a method that allows one to compute incomplete-market equilibria routinely for Markovian equilibria (when they exist). The main difficulty to be overcome arises from the set of state variables. There are, of course, exogenous state variables driving the economy but, in an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966639
Many bond portfolio managers argue that bond laddering tends to outperform other bond investment strategies because it … reduces both market price risk and reinvestment risk for a bond portfolio in the presence of interest rate uncertainty …. Despite the popularity of bond ladders as a strategy for managing investments in fixed-income securities, there is surprising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966082
We build a model of investment and financing decisions to study the choice between bonds and bank loans in a firm's marginal financing decision and its effects on corporate investment. We show that firms with more growth options, higher bargaining power in default, operating in more competitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258730
filters out noise and provide evidence that it predicts bond risk premia well. This result holds in developed and emerging … that oil price increases are associated with subsequent higher bond returns. Besides, we demonstrate that not all oil price … shocks are alike: Although oil demand and supply shocks have opposite implications for economic activity and bond risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012003274
The effective functioning of the municipal bond market is crucial for the provision of public services, as it is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938223
I filter expected inflation, unemployment and log GDP Hodrick-Prescott filtered series in order to extrapolate … the variation of excess bond risk premia in the sample. Additionally, the factor unveils differences between monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870652