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Inflation, recession - what's a policymaker to do?

Francis, Darryl R. - In: Review (1974) Nov, pp. 3-7

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005415233

The 2001 recession: how was it different and what developments may have caused it?

Kliesen, Kevin L. - In: Review (2003) Sep, pp. 23-38

The 2001 recession was unique in several respects. For instance, the peak-to-trough decline in real gross domestic product was one of the smallest on record and its duration was slightly shorter than average. This article examines some of the other unique features of the 2001 recession compared...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005519750

Bank financing of the recovery

Gilbert, R. Alton - In: Review (1976) Jul, pp. 2-9

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005414799

Strengthening the case for the yield curve as a predictor of U.S. recessions

Dueker, Michael - In: Review (1997) Mar, pp. 41-51

variables such as the index of leading indicators, the yield curve is an excellent predictor of recessions. In this article …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005414806

Regime-dependent recession forecasts and the 2001 recession

Dueker, Michael J. - In: Review (2002) Nov, pp. 29-36

Business recessions are notoriously hard to predict accurately, hence the quip that economists have predicted eight of … the last five recessions. This article derives a six-month-ahead recession signal that reduces the number of false signals … outside of recession, without impairing the ability to signal the recessions that occur. In terms of predicting the 1990 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005414814

Forecasting recessions: can we do better on MARS?

Sephton, Peter - In: Review (2001) Mar, pp. 39-49

A number of recent articles have examined the ability of financial variables to predict recessions. In this article …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005415024

Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different?

Owyang, Michael T.; Sekhposyan, Tatevik - In: Review (2012) Sep, pp. 399-418

In 1962, Arthur Okun posited an empirical relationship between the change in the unemployment rate and real output growth. Since then, the media, policymakers, pundits, and intermediate macro students have used the so-called Okun’s law as a rule of thumb to relate changes in unemployment to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010733934

Labor mismatch in the Great Recession: a review of indexes using recent U.S. data

Canon, Maria E.; Chen, Mingyu; Marifian, Elise A. - In: Review (2013) May, pp. 237-272

Labor mismatch, also known as structural imbalance, can be defined as a poor match between the characteristics of unemployed workers and those required for vacant jobs. In the wake of the jobless recovery from the Great Recession, economists have sought to explain the coexistence of a high...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011026886

Can the term spread predict output growth and recessions? a survey of the literature

Wheelock, David C.; Wohar, Mark E. - In: Review (2009) Sep, pp. 419-440

regression techniques to forecast changes in output or dichotomous choice models to forecast recessions. Others use time … nonlinearities. Many studies find that the term spread predicts output growth and recessions up to one year in advance, but several … recessions. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005078415

Organizational dynamics over the business cycle: a view on jobless recoveries

Koenders, Kathryn; Rogerson, Richard - In: Review (2005) Jul, pp. 555-580

restructuring. A key implication of the analysis is that recoveries from recessions following long expansions will have slower …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005724875