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U.S. regional business cycles and the natural rate of enemployment
Wall, Howard J.; Gylfi Zoega - In: Review / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 86 (2004) 1, pp. 23-31
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002156348
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Optimal monetary policy under uncertainty : a Markov jump-linear-quadratic approach
Svensson, Lars E. O.; Williams, Noah - In: Review / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90 (2008) 4, pp. 275-305
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764387
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The rise and fall of a policy rule : monetarism at the St. Louis Fed, 1968 - 1986
Hafer, Rik W.; Wheelock, David C. - In: Review / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 (2001) 1, pp. 1-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001566772
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The inflation-output variability tradeoff and price-level targets
Dittmar, Robert; Gavin, William T.; Kydland, Finn - In: Review (1999) Jan, pp. 23-32
. Here, the choice between an inflation target and a price-level target depends on characteristics of real output. If the … set objectives for a price level, not an inflation rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005414728
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What do New-Keynesian Phillips Curves imply for price-level targeting?
Dittmar, Robert; Gavin, William T. - In: Review (2000) Mar, pp. 21-30
examine the inflation-output variability tradeoffs implied by optimal inflation and price-level rules. In previous work with … the Neoclassical Phillips Curve, we found that the choice between inflation targeting and price-level targeting depended … did not enter the aggregate supply function, then inflation targets were preferred to price-level targets. When we start …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005725968
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Forecasting inflation and growth: do private forecasts match those of policymakers?
Gavin, William T.; Mandal, Rachel J. - In: Review (2001) May, pp. 11-20
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) projections are important because they provide information for evaluating current monetary policy intentions and because they indicate what FOMC members think will be the likely consequence of their policies. Knowing the Fed’s objectives, their forecasts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010726977
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What are the odds? option-based forecasts of FOMC target changes
Emmons, William R.; Lakdawala, Aeimit K.; Neely, … - In: Review (2006) Nov, pp. 543-562
This article uses probability forecasts derived from options to assess evolving market uncertainty about Federal Reserve monetary policy actions in a variety of recent events and episodes. Options on federal funds futures contracts reveal a complete probability density function over possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005519630
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Best guesses and surprises
Poole, William - In: Review (2004) May, pp. 1-8
This article was originally presented as a speech at the Charlotte Economics Club, Charlotte, North Carolina, February 25, 2004.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005724902
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The impact of inflation and unemployment on subjective personal and country evaluations
Gandelman, Néstor; Hernández-Murillo, Rubén - In: Review / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 91 (2009) 3, pp. 107-126
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003854463
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Seven Faces of "The Peril"
Bullard, James - In: Review (2013) Nov, pp. 613-628
In this paper the author discusses the possibility that the U.S. economy may become enmeshed in a Japanese-style deflationary outcome within the next several years. To frame the discussion, the author relies on an analysis that emphasizes two possible long-run steady states for the economy: one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010733941