We develop a real model of exchange rate overshooting due to a debt servicing multiplier. Borrowers of foreign capital are bound by noncontingent contracts to pay the world rate of return following an adverse shock. This is onerous, since the marginal product of capital is less than the world...

The paper presents a new model of the East Asian crisis which combines three elements-moral hazard, investment collapse, and multiple equilibria-in a single account. The study locates the causes of the crisis in poor financial regulation, highly leveraged financial institutions, and implicit...