During the 1990s Francis Fukuyama announced the end of history. The 2000s showed how it is an illusion to imagine a peaceful world without conflict. In this book, the authors explore how six major constraints are set to fix the trajectory of the global economy. Three of them are new: the aging...

This is the first book combining research on the Global Environment, Catastrophic Risks and Economic Theory and Policy. Modern economic theory originated in the middle of the twentieth century when industrial expansion coupled with population growth led to a voracious use of natural resources...

Dieser Band stellt praxisorientiert die Monte-Carlo-Simulation (Risikosimulation) vor, die es ermöglicht, den Gesamtrisikoumfang eines Unternehmens oder Projektes zu berechnen (Risikoaggregation) und mögliche „bestandsgefährdende Entwicklungen“ aus Kombinationseffekten von Einzelrisiken...

Managing Uncertainty, Mitigating Risk proposes that financial risk management broaden its approach, maintaining quantification where possible, but incorporating uncertainty. The author shows that by using broad quantification techniques, and using reason as the guiding principle, practitioners...

Causal analytics methods can revolutionize the use of data to make effective decisions by revealing how different choices affect probabilities of various outcomes. This book presents and illustrates models, algorithms, principles, and software for deriving causal models from data and for using...

Klimawandel als Herausforderung an die Unternehmensführung -- Ursachen und Auswirkungen des Klimawandels unter systemtheoretisch strukturierter Betrachtung -- Theoretische Grundlagen zu den kontextrelevanten Konzepten der Resilience-, Klimawandeladaptions- und betriebswirtschaftlichen Forschung...

Risikoidentifikation und -quantifizierung auf Basis des gegenwärtigen Standes von Theorie und Praxis -- Der Risikobegriff -- Marktrisikoquantifizierung – Eingeführte Ansätze und Verfahren in Theorie und Praxis -- Kreditrisikoquantifizierung – Eingeführte Ansätze und Verfahren in Theorie...

Past cycles of sovereign lending and default suggest that debt crises will recur at some point. This book shows why investors should reckon with similar credit events in the future. Surveying the sovereign bond market, the author provides investors with a useful toolkit for analyzing sovereign...