This study sought to quantify the impact of demographics on the expense of the public pensions as a share (%) of the Gross Domestic Product GDP, by 2060 and 2100, based upon a simplified forecasting model. The results show a strong expansion in expenditures due to the fast and intense process of...

The population projections elaborated in this work sought to fulfi ll the objective of producing quantitative inputs that help in the analysis and simulations of the macroeconomic impacts of different proposals for reforming the social security system in Brazil. Hence the need to consider, in...

The objectives of this paper are i) to assess the recent changes in the "actuarial factor" and their distributive and financial impacts in the short and long term. The actuarial factor was created in 1999 to adjust the individual benefit level according to age, time of contribution and life...

The aim of the paper is to analyze the impact of the General Social Security System (RGPS) on regional disparities in Brazil. The study examines the impact of social security on regional income distribution at different scales by means of econometric tests, and conventional measures of...

This paper seeks to estimate the distributive impact of the taxes and other fiscal contributions that finance social security in Brazil. Making a certain number of strong hypotheses relative to the fiscal incidence of social security financing, we compute a measure of incidence that aggregates...

The purpose of this work is to provide an overview of social security, which, along with public health and social assistance, constitutes social security in Brazil. This text represents only a part of a trilogy of Discussion Papers structured to highlight the relevance of social security,...

This article analyzes the institutional evolution of the Benefício de Prestação Continuada (BPC) since its adoption in 1988 and its first regulation in 1993. Based on the theoretical framework of historical institutionalism and the notion of policy paradigm, which guided a historical analysis...

This paper analyzes federal transfers to not-for-profit organizations (NPOs) in the past twelve years in Brazil. We analyze four points: i) the variations in terms of absolute amount of resources transferred to NPOs from the federal government; ii) the proportion of NPOs transfers relatively to...

This paper estimates the primary structural budget balance (eliminating the effects due to cyclical fluctuations in GDP and oil price) for the central government and public administrations from 1997 to the second quarter of 2010. Some adjustments were made on the IMF methodology to account for...

The common sense remarks that Brazilian public service has a chronic oversize, a characteristic of a patronage and entrenched patrimonialism and partisanship. This paper shows evidences that refute this common sense. In addition, the paper offers recommendations and proposals to overcome this...