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When the US stock market becomes extreme?

Aboura, Sofiane - In: Risks : open access journal 2 (2014) 2, pp. 211-225

Over the last three decades, the world economy has been facing stock market crashes, currency crisis, the dot-com and real estate bubble burst, credit crunch and banking panics. As a response, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a set of ready-made approaches to risk management analysis....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399734

Estimating and forecasting conditional risk measures with extreme value theory : a review

Bee, Marco; Trapin, Luca - In: Risks : open access journal 6 (2018) 2, pp. 1-16

One of the key components of financial risk management is risk measurement. This typically requires modeling, estimating and forecasting tail-related quantities of the asset returns’ conditional distribution. Recent advances in the financial econometrics literature have developed several...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866456

An optimal tail selection in risk measurement

Just, Małgorzata; Echaust, Krzysztof - In: Risks : open access journal 9 (2021) 4, pp. 1-16

The appropriate choice of a threshold level, which separates the tails of the probability distribution of a random variable from its middle part, is considered to be a very complex and challenging task. This paper provides an empirical study on various methods of the optimal tail selection in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508704

Portfolio optimization for extreme risks with maximum diversification : an empirical analysis

Mehta, Navya Jayesh; Yang, Fan - In: Risks : open access journal 10 (2022) 5, pp. 1-26

Heavy tailedness and interconnectedness widely exist in stock returns and large insurance claims, which contributes to huge losses for financial institutions. Diversification ratio (DR) measures the degree of diversification using the Value-at-Risk, which is known to capture extreme risks better...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013358817

Asymmetric return and volatility transmission in conventional and Islamic equities

Umar, Zaghum; Suleman, Tahir - In: Risks : open access journal 5 (2017) 2, pp. 1-18

This paper analyses the interdependence between Islamic and conventional equities by taking into consideration the asymmetric effect of return and volatility transmission. We empirically investigate the decoupling hypothesis of Islamic and conventional equities and the potential contagion...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643393

European gasoline markets : price transmission asymmetries in mean and variance

Torrado, María; Escribano, Álvaro - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158754

Internet, noise trading and commodity prices

Peri, Massimo; Vandone, Daniela; Baldi, Lucia - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011759934

Empirical testing of models of autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity used for prediction of the volatility of Bulgarian investment funds

Petrova, Mariana; Todorov, Teodor - In: Risks : open access journal 11 (2023) 11, pp. 1-30

investment decisions. The used risk attribution quantification models GARCH (1.1), EGARCH (1.1), GARCH-M (1.1) and TGARCH (1 … models GARCH, EGARCH, GARCH-M and TGARCH with specification (1.1). The research covers the net balance sheet value of forty … of the models GARCH, EGARCH and GARCH-M with the highest risk concentration the investment fund "Golden Lev Index 30 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436423

Risk modeling and management : an overview

Chang, Chia-Lin; Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; … - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771092

Evaluating risk measures and capital allocations based on multi-losses driven by a heavy-tailed background risk : the multivariate Pareto-II model

Asimit, Alexandru V.; Vernic, Raluca; Zitikis, Riċardas - In: Risks : open access journal 1 (2013) 1, pp. 14-33

Evaluating risk measures, premiums, and capital allocation based on dependent multi-losses is a notoriously difficult task. In this paper, we demonstrate how this can be successfully accomplished when losses follow the multivariate Pareto distribution of the second kind, which is an attractive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754682