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One of the key components of financial risk management is risk measurement. This typically requires modeling … financial econometrics literature have developed several models based on Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to carry out these tasks …
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risky, motivating us to manage their risk. In this paper, we aimed to forecast the risk of Decentraland's MANA and Theta … combination with Bitcoin. To measure their risk, we proposed a modified aggregate risk measure (AggM) defined as a convex … combination of aggregate value-at-risk (AggVaR) and aggregate expected shortfall (AggES). To capture their dependence, we employed …
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Predicting the risk of corporate bankruptcy is one of the most important challenges for researchers dealing with the … issue of financial health evaluation. The risk of corporate bankruptcy is most often assessed with the use of early warning …
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Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction...
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The present study aims at modelling market risk for four commodities, namely West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil …, natural gas, gold and corn for the period 2007-2017. To this purpose, we use Extreme Value Theory (EVT) together with a set of … Conditional Auto-Regressive Logit (CARL) models to predict risk measures for the futures return series of the considered …
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We introduce a neural network approach for assessing the risk of a portfolio of assets and liabilities over a given … value-at-risk and expected shortfall, but the approach also works for other risk measures. …
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