Algieri, Bernardina; Leccadito, Arturo - In: Risks : open access journal 8 (2020) 1/27, pp. 1-15
The present study aims at modelling market risk for four commodities, namely West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil …, natural gas, gold and corn for the period 2007-2017. To this purpose, we use Extreme Value Theory (EVT) together with a set of … Conditional Auto-Regressive Logit (CARL) models to predict risk measures for the futures return series of the considered …