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The purpose of this paper is to survey recent developments in granular models and machine learning models for loss reserving, and to compare the two families with a view to assessment of their potential for future development. This is best understood against the context of the evolution of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127545
There is an increasing influence of machine learning in business applications, with many solutions already implemented …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015887
Estimation of future mortality rates still plays a central role among life insurers in pricing their products and managing longevity risk. In the literature on mortality modeling, a wide number of stochastic models have been proposed, most of them forecasting future mortality rates by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015932
institutions are renewing their business models. Credit risk predictions, monitoring, model reliability and effective loan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866377
data across lines of business, and show that they improve on the predictive accuracy of existing stochastic methods. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126426
In micro-lending markets, lack of recorded credit history is a significant impediment to assessing individual borrowers' creditworthiness and therefore deciding fair interest rates. This research compares various machine learning algorithms on real micro-lending data to test their efficacy at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508509
Predicting if a client is worth giving a loan-credit scoring-is one of the most essential and popular problems in banking. Predictive models for this goal are built on the assumption that there is a dependency between the client's profile before the loan approval and their future behavior....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508541
Logistic regression is a very popular binary classification technique in many industries, particularly in the financial service industry. It has been used to build credit scorecards, estimate the probability of default or churn, identify the next best product in marketing, and many more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014246272
While previous academic research highlights the potential of machine learning and big data for predicting corporate bond recovery rates, the operations management challenge is to identify the relevant predictive variables and the appropriate model. In this paper, we use meta-learning to combine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363030
This paper proposes a generalized deep learning approach for predicting claims developments for non-life insurance reserving. The generalized approach offers more flexibility and accuracy in solving actuarial reserving problems. It predicts claims outstanding weighted by exposure instead of loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480914