Showing 1 - 10 of 23
The paper seeks to answer the question of how price forecasting can contribute to which techniques gives the most accurate results in the futures commodity market. A total of two families of models (decision trees, artificial intelligence) were used to produce estimates for 2018 and 2022 for 21-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233184
Healthcare fraud is intentionally submitting false claims or producing misinterpretation of facts to obtain entitlement payments. Thus, it wastes healthcare financial resources and increases healthcare costs. Subsequently, fraud poses a substantial financial challenge. Therefore, supervised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014375217
The time series movements of Bitcoin prices are commonly characterized as highly nonlinear and volatile in nature across economic periods, when compared to the characteristics of traditional asset classes, such as equities and commodities. From a risk management perspective, such behaviors pose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230957
The global foreign exchange (FX) market represents a critical and sizeable component of our financial system. It is a market where firms and investors engage in both speculative trading and hedging. Over the years, there has been a growing interest in FX modeling and prediction. Recently,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015066311
the proxy function that models the insurer's loss with respect to the risk factors the insurance business is exposed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390430
In insurance mathematics, optimal control problems over an infinite time horizon arise when computing risk measures. An example of such a risk measure is the expected discounted future dividend payments. In models which take multiple economic factors into account, this problem is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391761
data across lines of business, and show that they improve on the predictive accuracy of existing stochastic methods. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126426
The purpose of this paper is to survey recent developments in granular models and machine learning models for loss reserving, and to compare the two families with a view to assessment of their potential for future development. This is best understood against the context of the evolution of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127545
In the field of mortality, the Lee–Carter based approach can be considered the milestone to forecast mortality rates among stochastic models. We could define a “Lee–Carter model family” that embraces all developments of this model, including its first formulation (1992) that remains the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015810
This paper proposes a data-driven approach, by means of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), to value financial options and to calculate implied volatilities with the aim of accelerating the corresponding numerical methods. With ANNs being universal function approximators, this method trains an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016033