Showing 1 - 10 of 103
Under state-dependent preferences, probabilities and units of scale of state-dependent utilities are not separately identified. In standard models, only their products matter to decisions. Separate identification has been studied under implicit actions by Drèze or under explicit actions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011811749
We find the asymptotics of the value function maximizing the expected utility of discounted dividend payments of an … initial reserves tend to infinity. We focus on the power and logarithmic utility functions. We also perform some numerical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014303657
We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival times depending on the claims that arrive within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative structure. The main inspiration of the model comes from the bonus-malus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507555
We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391729
This paper considers the risk model perturbed by a diffusion process with a time delay in the arrival of the first two claims and takes into account dependence between claim amounts and the claim inter-occurrence times. Assuming that the time arrival of the first claim follows a generalized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203649
We introduce a neural network approach for assessing the risk of a portfolio of assets and liabilities over a given time period. This requires a conditional valuation of the portfolio given the state of the world at a later time, a problem that is particularly challenging if the portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203982
In insurance rate-making, the use of statistical machine learning techniques such as artificial neural networks (ANN) is an emerging approach, and many insurance companies have been using them for pricing. However, due to the complexity of model specification and its implementation, model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598958
including the Value-at-Risk and Expected-Shortfall, and (c) expected utility type constraints, thus making the reverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013364877
This article studies insurance demand in a two-period framework in which an individual faces risks in both current and future periods. Models for insurance with and without the presence of endogenous saving are both discussed. In contrast to what most literature suggests, when decisions on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014303780