Showing 1 - 10 of 120
One of the key components of financial risk management is risk measurement. This typically requires modeling … financial econometrics literature have developed several models based on Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to carry out these tasks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866456
This article reviews two leading measures of financial risk and an emerging alternative. Embraced by the Basel accords …, value-at-risk and expected shortfall are the leading measures of financial risk. Expectiles offset the weaknesses of value-at-risk … (VaR) and expected shortfall. Indeed, expectiles are the only elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867427
investment returns and risk, provide an attractive and effective alternative to traditional guaranteed life annuity products …. While longevity risk sharing in pooled annuities has received recent attention, incorporating investment risk beyond fixed …, while reducing pooled annuity income volatility and downside risk, as well as an investment strategy that reduces exposure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363078
risky, motivating us to manage their risk. In this paper, we aimed to forecast the risk of Decentraland's MANA and Theta … combination with Bitcoin. To measure their risk, we proposed a modified aggregate risk measure (AggM) defined as a convex … combination of aggregate value-at-risk (AggVaR) and aggregate expected shortfall (AggES). To capture their dependence, we employed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014234332
The present study aims at modelling market risk for four commodities, namely West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil …, natural gas, gold and corn for the period 2007-2017. To this purpose, we use Extreme Value Theory (EVT) together with a set of … Conditional Auto-Regressive Logit (CARL) models to predict risk measures for the futures return series of the considered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203657
We introduce a neural network approach for assessing the risk of a portfolio of assets and liabilities over a given … value-at-risk and expected shortfall, but the approach also works for other risk measures. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203982
and risk prevention as this trend continues. In this paper, we convert natural disaster losses to the year 2016 dollars … outperforms the other two composite distributions in modeling natural disaster losses. Important risk measures for natural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422965
Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391729
risk model CreditRisk+. This allows exact risk aggregation via an efficient numerically stable Panjer recursion algorithm …. Furthermore, the model allows exact (without Monte Carlo simulation error) calculation of risk measures and their sensitivities … with respect to model parameters for P&L distributions such as value-at-risk and expected shortfall. Numerous examples …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
opportunities while also introducing new risks. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between risk and return in … any dynamic link between risk and return in the Indian fintech market. The variance-based Mean-GARCH (GARCH-M) model was … used to determine whether there is a dynamic link between risk and return in the Indian fintech market. The findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225995