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This article reviews two leading measures of financial risk and an emerging alternative. Embraced by the Basel accords …, value-at-risk and expected shortfall are the leading measures of financial risk. Expectiles offset the weaknesses of value-at-risk … (VaR) and expected shortfall. Indeed, expectiles are the only elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867427
The model of financial risk prediction we developed and present in our paper is based on the theoretical assumption … research influences the potential risk in financial behaviour and it becomes actual especially in the case of changing life … risk of clients. The model has fundamental applications as a diagnostic or auto-diagnostic tool in social work, counselling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704647
The present study aims at modelling market risk for four commodities, namely West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil … Conditional Auto-Regressive Logit (CARL) models to predict risk measures for the futures return series of the considered … models in order to predict the probability of tail events and the Value-at-Risk and the Expected Shortfall risk measures for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203657
This study examines the predictability of the last 30 min of intraday stock price movements within the US financial market. The analysis encompasses several potential explanatory variables, including returns from each 30 min intraday trading session, overnight returns, the federal reserve fund...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015137895
Cryptocurrencies have increasingly attracted the attention of several players interested in crypto assets. Their rapid growth and dynamic nature require robust methods for modeling their volatility. The Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model is a well-known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014446600
We introduce a neural network approach for assessing the risk of a portfolio of assets and liabilities over a given … value-at-risk and expected shortfall, but the approach also works for other risk measures. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203982
The automation of manufacturing processes as a result of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, rendered faster under the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic, leads to a question as to whether small enterprises, and in particular microenterprises, will still be financially self-sufficient. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093031
strategies, affects financial performance when risk is measured. We use the MA rule for market timing, that is, for when to buy … stocks and when to shift to the risk-free rate. The important issue regarding the predictability of returns is assessed. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906234
One of the key components of financial risk management is risk measurement. This typically requires modeling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866456
. From a risk management perspective, such behaviors pose challenges, given the difficulty in quantifying and modeling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230957