Mortality improvements and life expectancies have been increasing in recent decades, leading to growing interest in … understanding mortality risk and longevity risk. Studies of mortality forecasting are of interest among actuaries and demographers … because mortality forecasting can quantify mortality and longevity risks. There is an abundance of literature on the topic of …

In the field of mortality, the Lee–Carter based approach can be considered the milestone to forecast mortality rates …–Carter model, the κ t parameter, describing the mortality trend over time, plays an important role about the future mortality … behavior. The traditional ARIMA process usually used to model κ t shows evident limitations to describe the future mortality …

Estimation of future mortality rates still plays a central role among life insurers in pricing their products and … managing longevity risk. In the literature on mortality modeling, a wide number of stochastic models have been proposed, most … of them forecasting future mortality rates by extrapolating one or more latent factors. The abundance of proposed models …

future mortality rates. It can be argued that there are two types of mortality models using this approach. The first extracts …-parametric smoothing techniques to model mortality and thus has no explicit constraints placed on the model. We argue that from a … using Great Britain male mortality data from 1950–2016. We also conduct a robustness test to see how sensitive the forecasts …

Pooled annuity products, where the participants share systematic and idiosyncratic mortality risks as well as …

Affine mortality models are well suited for theoretical and practical application in pricing and risk management of … mortality risk. They produce consistent, closed-form stochastic survival curves allowing for the efficient valuation of … mortality-linked claims. We model USA age-cohort mortality data using five multi-factor affine mortality models. We focus on …

-heart syndrome. Given the traditional use of UK mortality tables in the modelling of mortality in Egypt, the findings of this paper … will help to inform appropriate mortality assumptions specific to the unique structure of the Egyptian scheme. …

Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable … should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models …-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction accuracy-is often based on the logarithmic scale of the mortality …

Special-rate life annuities are life annuity products whose single premium is based on a mortality assumption driven …