Showing 1 - 10 of 18
We present a stochastic simulation forecasting model for stress testing that is aimed at assessing banks’ capital adequacy, financial fragility, and probability of default. The paper provides a theoretical presentation of the methodology and the essential features of the forecasting model on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890804
VaR and CVaR metrics, the identification of optimal portfolios, and the pricing of European-style basket options. We … propose a Laplace-transform-based approach to computing Value at Risk (VaR) and conditional VaR (also known as the expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014446758
Faced with the need to adjust public pension systems to meet changing demographic, economic and social conditions, most developed countries have created government reserve funds to ensure macroeconomic sustainability. This paper aims to study the importance that this reserve fund plays in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363083
Panel data of our interest consist of a moderate number of panels, while the panels contain a small number of observations. An estimator of common breaks in panel means without a boundary issue for this kind of scenario is proposed. In particular, the novel estimator is able to detect a common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636497
This paper establishes a theoretical link between actuarial neutrality and the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition to empirically assess vertical equity in public defined-benefit schemes. We demonstrate how this approach can be generalized to non-linear functions, point systems, and notional accounts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409016
The design and development of post-retirement income products require the assessment of longevity risk, as well as a basis for hedging these risks. Most indices for longevity risk are age-period based. We develop and assess a cohort-based value index for life insurers and pension funds to manage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011811547
Increasing retirement ages in an automatic or scheduled way with increasing life expectancy at retirement is a popular pension policy response to continuous longevity improvements. The question addressed here is: to what extent is simply adopting this approach likely to fulfill the overall goals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597036
In this study, we use Neural Networks (NNs) to price American put options. We propose two NN models-a simple one and a more complex one-and we discuss the performance of two NN models with the Least-Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) method. This study relies on American put option market prices, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293134
ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and VAR (Vector Auto Regressive). The monthly price of Cocoa beans is … series. The multivariate VAR (1) model found that the US and London Cocoa futures prices traded on the ICE platform will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363126
In this study, we analyse a large sample of Egyptian social pension data which covers, by law, the policyholder's spouse, children, parents and siblings. This data set uniquely enables the study and comparison of pairwise dependence between multiple familial relationships beyond the well-known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233104