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Over the last years, farmers have been increasingly exposed to income risk due to the volatility of the commodities prices. Among others, hedging in futures markets (i.e., financial markets) represents an available strategy for producers to cope with income risks at farm level. To better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705087
Commodity price co-movements significantly impact investment decisions. High correlations constrain portfolio diversification and limit risk mitigation potential. While international markets often exhibit strong price linkages, understanding national-level dynamics is crucial for effective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636838
The present study aims at modelling market risk for four commodities, namely West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, natural gas, gold and corn for the period 2007-2017. To this purpose, we use Extreme Value Theory (EVT) together with a set of Conditional Auto-Regressive Logit (CARL) models to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203657
Spot option prices, forwards and options on forwards relevant for the commodity markets are computed when the underlying process S is modelled as an exponential of a process xi with memory as, e.g., a Volterra equation driven by a Levy process. Moreover, the interest rate and a risk premium rho...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012204043
. The new performance indexes incorporating high moments and disaster risk are the Aumann-Serrano performance index and … Foster-Hart performance index proposed by Kadan and Liu. These performance indexes provide evaluations sensitive to the … literature, we show by the regression analysis of the index and summary statistics these indexes are in fact not excessively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483189
In this paper, we review pricing of the variable annuity living and death guarantees offered to retail investors in many countries. Investors purchase these products to take advantage of market growth and protect savings. We present pricing of these products via an optimal stochastic control...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507624
We present the optimal consumption and investment strategy for an investor, endowed with labor income, searching to maximize utility from consumption and terminal wealth when facing a binding capital constraint of a European (constraint on terminal wealth) or an American (constraint on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399774
This paper studies the effect of variance swap in hedging volatility risk under the mean-variance criterion. We consider two mean-variance portfolio selection problems under Heston's stochastic volatility model. In the first problem, the financial market is complete and contains three primitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293125
This paper considers risks of the investment portfolio, which consist of distributed mortgages and sold European call options. It is assumed that the stream of the credit payments could fall by a jump. The time of the jump is modeled by the exponential distribution. We suggest that the returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867389
In this paper, we deal with the pricing of European options in an incomplete market. We use the common risk measures Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall to define good-deals on a financial market with log-normally distributed rate of returns. We show that the pricing bounds obtained from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390405