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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015137901
This study on explaining aggregated recovery rates (ARR) is based on the largest existing loss and recovery database for commercial loans provided by Global Credit Data, which includes defaults from 5 continents and over 120 countries. The dependence of monthly ARR from bank loans on various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805466
Credit risk is a critical issue that affects banks and companies on a global scale. Possessing the ability to … accurately predict the level of credit risk has the potential to help the lender and borrower. This is achieved by alleviating … trees, random forests, and stochastic gradient boosting to add to the current literature on credit-risk modelling. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867384
both theoretical and empirical contributions for assessing credit risk (probability of default) effectively in a new way by … dataset or credit risk assessment. The results suggest a better forecasting performance compared to the single best well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598408
on insolvency risk will be defined by recalling the concepts of Cash Flow-at-Risk and Capital-at-Risk. A first check on … through a simulation model. The scenario analysis allows us to examine how financial and risk policies oriented by insolvency …This conceptual paper focuses on the relationship between insolvency, capital structure, and value creation. The aim is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597149
This article reviews two leading measures of financial risk and an emerging alternative. Embraced by the Basel accords …, value-at-risk and expected shortfall are the leading measures of financial risk. Expectiles offset the weaknesses of value-at-risk … (VaR) and expected shortfall. Indeed, expectiles are the only elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867427
We give an explicit algorithm and source code for combining alpha streams via bounded regression. In practical applications, typically, there is insufficient history to compute a sample covariance matrix (SCM) for a large number of alphas. To compute alpha allocation weights, one then resorts to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402659
Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation. We then link our proposed model to an extended version of the credit … risk model CreditRisk+. This allows exact risk aggregation via an efficient numerically stable Panjer recursion algorithm …. Furthermore, the model allows exact (without Monte Carlo simulation error) calculation of risk measures and their sensitivities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
The aggregation of individual risks into total risk using a weighting variable multiplied by two ratio variables … representing incidence and intensity is an important task for risk professionals. For example, expected loss (EL) of a loan is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127917
In this paper, we use a logit model to predict the probability of default for Korean shipping companies. We explore numerous financial ratios to find predictors of a shipping firm’s failure and construct four default prediction models. The results suggest that a model with industry specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612618