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forecasting the daily volatility of Bulgarian investment funds, which will support the investment community in making adequate ….1) are adapted to predict the volatility of investment funds. The current development focuses on forecasting the risk … group. The object of the study includes quantitative analysis, estimation and forecasting of daily volatility through the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436423
Portfolio diversification is an accepted principle of risk management. When constructing an efficient portfolio, there are a number of asset classes to choose from. Financial innovation is expanding the range of instruments. In addition to traditional commodities and securities, other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636496
in the last decade to the analysis of volatility and risk management in cryptocurrency investment. Our samples include … cryptocurrencies’ volatility and also according to their main findings pertaining to volatility and risk management in those assets and … consider the support vector machines (SVM). We also argue that the predictability of volatility, risk reduction, and level of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013357341
the latter process. Within this scenario, we consider the so-called Volatility Target (VolTarget) strategy. In particular …, we focus our attention on estimating volatility levels of a risky asset to perform a VolTarget simulation over two … exploiting a Machine Learning (ML) solution. Our solution provides a more accurate volatility estimation, allowing us to derive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012426981
The paper is an investigation on the impact of financial markets on the volatility of the green bonds credit risk … detail, we highlight that the gamma in the two Exponential models is positive: so, the "green" credit risk volatility is more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093081
Over the last three decades, the world economy has been facing stock market crashes, currency crisis, the dot-com and real estate bubble burst, credit crunch and banking panics. As a response, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a set of ready-made approaches to risk management analysis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399734
financial investments has been debated in the literature. In this study, we compare the volatility of rates of return of …, it is important to model and quantify it. The conditional volatility models from the GARCH family and tail …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805838
This study aims at developing econometric models to manage the price risk of Dry and Wet Cocoa beans with the help of ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and VAR (Vector Auto Regressive). The monthly price of Cocoa beans is collected for the period starting from April 2009 to March...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363126
this paper, we consider a general class of stochastic volatility models written in forward variance form. We also deal with … volatility model with a Vasicek interest rate model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293269
In this paper, we introduce a 3D finite dimensional Gaussian process (GP) regression approach for learning arbitrage-free swaption cubes. Based on the possibly noisy observations of swaption prices, the proposed 'constrained' GP regression approach is proven to be arbitrage-free along the strike...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230924