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immediate impact on mortality rates. The recent COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated that these events should not be treated as … nonrepetitive exogenous interventions. Therefore, mortality models incorporating jump effects are particularly important to capture … the adverse mortality shocks. The mortality models with jumps, which we consider in this study, differ in terms of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497417
In this paper, we present extensions of the Hatzopoulos-Sagianou (2020) (HS) multiple-component stochastic mortality … linear models, and diverse distributions in the model’s estimation method. In this work, we differentiate the HS approach by … modelling the number of deaths using the Binomial model commonly employed in the literature of mortality modelling. Given this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365106
Human mortality has been improving faster than expected over the past few decades. This unprecedented improvement has … been observed in historical mortality data. In this paper, we investigate the applicability of four nonlinear time … conditional heteroskedasticity model for mortality data. By analyzing the mortality data from England and Wales and Italy spanning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014446511
We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death … causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain … Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation. We then link our proposed model to an extended version of the credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
We present a unified, market-complete model that integrates both Bachelier and Black- Scholes-Merton frameworks for asset pricing. The model allows for the study, within a unified framework, of asset pricing in a natural world that experiences the possibility of negative security prices or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065971
We consider several market models, where time is subordinated to a stochastic process. These models are based on various time changes in the Lévy processes driving asset returns, or on fractional extensions of the diffusion equation; they were introduced to capture complex phenomena such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390928
We present general conditions for the weak convergence of a discrete-time additive scheme to a stochastic process with memory in the space D [ 0,T ]. Then we investigate the convergence of the related multiplicative scheme to a process that can be interpreted as an asset price with memory. As an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012204032
individually. We present the conditional maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method for fitting asset price processes to empirical … properties of the proposed model, its parameter estimation using the MLE method and least-squares technique, the evaluation of … estimation and evaluation methodologies. Computational results are compared with Monte Carlo estimates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014446758
The general problem of asset pricing when the discount rate differs from the rate at which an asset’s cash flows accrue is considered. A pricing kernel framework is used to model an economy that is segmented into distinct markets, each identified by a yield curve having its own market, credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011811563
Mortality improvements and life expectancies have been increasing in recent decades, leading to growing interest in … understanding mortality risk and longevity risk. Studies of mortality forecasting are of interest among actuaries and demographers … because mortality forecasting can quantify mortality and longevity risks. There is an abundance of literature on the topic of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013556651