The prediction of future mortality improvements is of substantial importance for areas such as population projection …, government welfare policies, pension planning and annuity pricing. The Lee-Carter model is one of the widely applied mortality … models proposed to capture and predict the trend in mortality reductions. However, some studies have identified the presence …

have been extensively used for estimating age patterns of mortality in poor-data countries. We propose a new model inspired …

We introduce four variants of the common age effect model proposed by Kleinow, which describes the mortality rates of … allow some insights in the historical mortality dynamics of the populations. Numerical results and graphical illustrations …

In small populations, mortality rates are characterized by a great volatility, the datasets are often available for a … few years and suffer from missing data. Therefore, standard mortality models may produce high uncertain and biologically … improbable projections. In this paper, we deal with the mortality projections of the Maltese population, a small country with …

accurate modelling and projection of mortality rates and life expectancy play a central role and represent issues of great … interest in recent literature. Our study refers to the Italian mortality experience and considers an indexing mechanism based … performances of selected stochastic mortality models, a model assembling technique is applied to face uncertainty in model …

Bayesian Model Ensemble of heterogeneous stochastic mortality models comprised of parametric models, principal component …