Showing 1 - 10 of 103
We present several fast algorithms for computing the distribution of a sum of spatially dependent, discrete random variables to aggregate catastrophe risk. The algorithms are based on direct and hierarchical copula trees. Computing speed comes from the fact that loss aggregation at branching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019121
An accurate assessment of the risk of extreme environmental events is of great importance for populations, authorities and the banking/insurance/reinsurance industry. Koch (2017) introduced a notion of spatial risk measure and a corresponding set of axioms which are well suited to analyze the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019126
An essential input of annuity pricing is the future retiree mortality. From observed age-specific mortality data, modeling and forecasting can take place in two routes. On the one hand, we can first truncate the available data to retiree ages and then produce mortality forecasts based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293122
This paper is concerned with the estimation of forecast error, particularly in relation to insurance loss reserving. Forecast error is generally regarded as consisting of three components, namely parameter, process and model errors. The first two of these components, and their estimation, are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014435599
In this paper, irrational exercise behavior of the buyer of an American put is characterized by a single parameter. We model irrational exercise rules as the first jump time of a point processes with stochastic intensity. By the rationality parameter, we parameterize a family of stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299530
In this short paper, we study the asymptotics for the price of call options for very large strikes and put options for very small strikes. The stock price is assumed to follow the Black-Scholes models. We analyze European, Asian, American, Parisian and perpetual options and conclude that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300319
Binomial trees are very popular in both theory and applications of option pricing. As they often suffer from an irregular convergence behavior, improving this is an important task. We build upon a new version of the Edgeworth expansion for lattice models to construct new and quickly converging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507486
In this paper, we review pricing of the variable annuity living and death guarantees offered to retail investors in many countries. Investors purchase these products to take advantage of market growth and protect savings. We present pricing of these products via an optimal stochastic control...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507624
This paper presents a comprehensive extension of pricing two-dimensional derivatives depending on two barrier constraints. We assume randomness on the covariance matrix as a way of generalizing. We analyse common barrier derivatives, enabling us to study parameter uncertainty and the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556565
We present the optimal consumption and investment strategy for an investor, endowed with labor income, searching to maximize utility from consumption and terminal wealth when facing a binding capital constraint of a European (constraint on terminal wealth) or an American (constraint on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399774