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We present a stochastic simulation forecasting model for stress testing that is aimed at assessing banks’ capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890804
This paper presents the first methodological proposal of estimation of the VaR. Our approach is dynamic and calibrated to market extreme scenarios, incorporating the need of regulators and financial institutions in more sensitive risk measures. We also propose a simple backtesting methodology by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011811561
We explore the Monte Carlo steps required to reduce the sampling error of the estimated 99.9% quantile within an acceptable threshold. Our research is of primary interest to practitioners working in the area of operational risk measurement, where the annual loss distribution cannot be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019128
into a simulation quandary concerning the management of solvency capital risk associated with mortality and longevity. More … specifically, we introduce a thin-plate regression spline method as a surrogate alternative to the standard nested simulation … approach. Using this efficient simulation method, we further investigate hedging strategies that utilize mortality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014446489
An array of developments impacting the financial services industry, such as increasing complexity, interconnectedness, third party dependencies and digitalization, means operational resilience will remain a significant area of concern for policy makers, investors and customers. The purpose of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391018
The cost of cybersecurity incidents is large and growing. However, conventional methods for measuring loss and choosing mitigation strategies use simplifying assumptions and are often not supported by cyber attack data. In this paper, we present a multivariate model for different, dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292946
Systemic Banking crises are a recurrent phenomenon that affects society, and there is a need for a better understanding of the risk factors to support prudential regulation and reduce unnecessary risk intake in the financial system. This paper examines the main bank risk determinants in Latin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293308
This paper provides a critical analysis of the subadditivity axiom, which is the key condition for coherent risk measures. Contrary to the subadditivity assumption, bank mergers can create extra risk. We begin with an analysis how a merger affects depositors, junior or senior bank creditors, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126479
Advanced machine learning has achieved extraordinary success in recent years. “Active” operational risk beyond ex post analysis of measured-data machine learning could provide help beyond the regime of traditional statistical analysis when it comes to the “known unknown” or even the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866399
According to the last proposals of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, banks or insurance companies under the advanced measurement approach (AMA) must use four different sources of information to assess their operational risk capital requirement. The fourth includes ’business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866503