This paper proposes a generalized deep learning approach for predicting claims developments for non-life insurance reserving. The generalized approach offers more flexibility and accuracy in solving actuarial reserving problems. It predicts claims outstanding weighted by exposure instead of loss...

The purpose of this paper is to survey recent developments in granular models and machine learning models for loss reserving, and to compare the two families with a view to assessment of their potential for future development. This is best understood against the context of the evolution of these...

We propose a novel approach for loss reserving based on deep neural networks. The approach allows for joint modeling of paid losses and claims outstanding, and incorporation of heterogeneous inputs. We validate the models on loss reserving data across lines of business, and show that they...

The paper seeks to answer the question of how price forecasting can contribute to which techniques gives the most accurate results in the futures commodity market. A total of two families of models (decision trees, artificial intelligence) were used to produce estimates for 2018 and 2022 for 21-...

We compare parametric and machine learning techniques (namely: Neural Networks) for in-sample modeling of the yield curve of the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa). To such aim, we applied the Dynamic De Rezende-Ferreira five-factor model with time-varying decay...

The risk-based capital (RBC) ratio, an insurance company's financial soundness system, evaluates the capital adequacy needed to withstand unexpected losses. Therefore, continuous institutional improvement has been made to monitor the financial solvency of companies and protect consumers' rights,...

XGBoost is recognized as an algorithm with exceptional predictive capacity. Models for a binary response indicating the existence of accident claims versus no claims can be used to identify the determinants of traffic accidents. This study compared the relative performances of logistic...

The purpose of this study is to find the most important variables that represent the future projections of the Bank of International Settlements' (BIS) capital adequacy ratio, which is the index of financial soundness in a bank as a comprehensive and important measure of capital adequacy. This...

The time series movements of Bitcoin prices are commonly characterized as highly nonlinear and volatile in nature across economic periods, when compared to the characteristics of traditional asset classes, such as equities and commodities. From a risk management perspective, such behaviors pose...

In this paper, we investigated rates of admission to hospitals (or other health facilities) due to respiratory diseases in a United States working population and their dependence on a number of demographic and health insurance-related factors. We employed neural network (NN) modelling...