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. Furthermore, the model allows exact (without Monte Carlo simulation error) calculation of risk measures and their sensitivities … risk model CreditRisk+. This allows exact risk aggregation via an efficient numerically stable Panjer recursion algorithm … with respect to model parameters for P&L distributions such as value-at-risk and expected shortfall. Numerous examples …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232597
in the computation of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Results show that copulas provide more sophisticated results in terms of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127765
In the context of stochastic uncertainty and the increasing complexity of logistics processes in the retail sector … purpose of the present work is to assess the impact of risk events and unstable conditions on the level of quality of supply … chain services and economic indicators of the retail trade network. Using the anyLogistix software tool, a simulation model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704024
We present a stochastic simulation forecasting model for stress testing that is aimed at assessing banks’ capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890804
Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391729
In this paper, we present extensions of the Hatzopoulos-Sagianou (2020) (HS) multiple-component stochastic mortality model. Our aim is to thoroughly evaluate and stress test the HS model by deploying various link functions, using generalised linear models, and diverse distributions in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365106
ensures that the flexible risk response concept under conditions of improbable uncertainty is taken into account when …Modern conditions for real investment are generally associated with increasing uncertainty, which is even more relevant …, considering the project's uncertainty characteristics. The logic of the analysis methods transformation under the influence of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232403
approaches for dealing with parameter uncertainty are discussed and simulation algorithms based on (pseudo-marginal) Sequential … calculated for the one-year risk with dependencies based on correlations given by the Swiss Solvency Test. Two different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011783091
framework is model-free and allows for stresses on the output such as (a) the mean and variance, (b) any distortion risk measure … including the Value-at-Risk and Expected-Shortfall, and (c) expected utility type constraints, thus making the reverse … sensitivity analysis framework suitable for risk models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013364877