Showing 1 - 10 of 730
risk model CreditRisk+. This allows exact risk aggregation via an efficient numerically stable Panjer recursion algorithm …. Furthermore, the model allows exact (without Monte Carlo simulation error) calculation of risk measures and their sensitivities … with respect to model parameters for P&L distributions such as value-at-risk and expected shortfall. Numerous examples …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391729
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232597
In the context of stochastic uncertainty and the increasing complexity of logistics processes in the retail sector … purpose of the present work is to assess the impact of risk events and unstable conditions on the level of quality of supply … occurrence of a man-made risk event and the shutdown of production of one of the suppliers on the financial, customer, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704024
We study risk-minimization for a large class of insurance contracts. Given that the individual progress in time of …-Kunita-Watanabe decomposition for a general insurance contract and specify risk-minimizing strategies in a Brownian financial market setting. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507634
that Lévy process-based models provide a better fit to the US statutory accounting data, and identifies how parameter risk … insurance parameter risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011687307
In this article, a model for pandemic risk and two stochastic extensions is proposed. It is designed for actuarial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422887
We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival times depending on the claims …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507555
variables to aggregate catastrophe risk. The algorithms are based on direct and hierarchical copula trees. Computing speed comes … of the total risk. We test the performance of the presented models by accumulating ground-up loss for 29,000 risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019121
We present a stochastic simulation forecasting model for stress testing that is aimed at assessing banks’ capital adequacy, financial fragility, and probability of default. The paper provides a theoretical presentation of the methodology and the essential features of the forecasting model on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890804