Longer horizon returns are constructed from data on daily returns. Observed drawbacks of a Lévy process are a sharp decrease in skewness and excess kurtosis. Drawbacks to scaling are a flat term structure of skewness and excess kurtosis. A strategy that combines some exposure to independent...

A Markov chain with an expanding non-uniform grid matching risk neutral marginal distributions is constructed. Conditional distributions of the chain are in the variance gamma class with prespecified skewness and excess kurtosis. Time change and space scale volatilities are calibrated from...

No arbitrage for two price economies with no locally risk free asset implies that suitably deflated prices are nonlinear martingales. However, both the deflating process and the measure change depend on the process being deflated. Further assumptions allow the nonlinear martingales in discrete...

Learning the pre limited liability value process of equity claims and its relationship to the stock price is an answer to the financial jeorpardy question when observed option prices are the answer being given by the market. Constant dollar equity holder values, prior to the imposition of...

Allowing for correlated squared returns across two consecutive periods, portfolio theory for two periods is developed. This correlation makes it necessary to work with non-Gaussian models. The two period conic portfolio problem is formulated and implemented. This development leads to a mean ask...

This paper studies how expected returns interact with product market competition. We present a model in which product market competition is jointly captured by the industry concentration and the average markup. We then provide empirical evidence consistent with three channels that explain the...

We examine institutional trading surrounding corporate news by combining a comprehensive database of newswire releases on U.S. firms with a high-frequency database of institutional trades. To identify the ability of institutions to predict or quickly interpret news, we form “news clusters”...

Risk premia are related to price probability ratios or for continuous time pure jump processes the ratios of jump arrival rates under the pricing and physical measures. The variance gamma model is employed to synthesize densities with risk premia seen as the ratio of the three parameters. The...

Portfolios are designed to maximize a conservative market value or bid price for the portfolio. Theoretically this bid price is modeled as reflecting a convex cone of acceptable risks supporting an arbitrage free equilibrium of a two price economy. When risk acceptability is completely defined...

The paper provides a new hedging methodology permitting systematic hedging choices with wide applications. Dynamic concave bid price, and convex ask price functionals from the recent literature are employed to construct new hedging strategies termed dynamic conic hedging. The primary focus of...