In this paper we explore a novel way to combine the dynamic notion of time-consistency with the static notion of quantile-based coherent risk-measure or spectral risk measure, of which Expected Shortfall is a prime example. We introduce a class of dynamic risk measures in terms of a certain...

The paper provides a new hedging methodology permitting systematic hedging choices with wide applications. Dynamic concave bid price, and convex ask price functionals from the recent literature are employed to construct new hedging strategies termed dynamic conic hedging. The primary focus of...

Trading strategies are valued using non-linear conditional expectations with respect to non-additive probabilities in a discrete time Markovian context. Non-additive probabilities attain conservatism by exaggerating upwards tail loss events and exaggerating downwards tail gain events. Steady...

A Markov chain with an expanding non-uniform grid matching risk neutral marginal distributions is constructed. Conditional distributions of the chain are in the variance gamma class with prespecified skewness and excess kurtosis. Time change and space scale volatilities are calibrated from...

Eberlein, Kallsen and Kristen (2003) argued that the VIX index is a good way to devolatize SPX returns. Adopting this approach we construct a risk neutral model for SPX returns as a variance gamma process scaled by the VIX. We model the risk neutral evolution of the squared VIX as a mean...

An argument for adjusting Black Scholes implied call deltas downwards for a gamma exposure in a left skewed market is presented. It is shown that when the objective for the hedge is the conservation of capital ignoring the gamma for the delat position is expensive. The gamma adjustment factor in...

Risk premia are related to price probability ratios or for continuous time pure jump processes the ratios of jump arrival rates under the pricing and physical measures. The variance gamma model is employed to synthesize densities with risk premia seen as the ratio of the three parameters. The...

Portfolios are designed to maximize a conservative market value or bid price for the portfolio. Theoretically this bid price is modeled as reflecting a convex cone of acceptable risks supporting an arbitrage free equilibrium of a two price economy. When risk acceptability is completely defined...

Postulating additivity of bid and ask prices for claims comonotone with a long or short stock position, two pricing processes are identified from data on bid and ask prices for options. It is observed that there are two separate put call parity relations in place, with the ask price for call...

Minimal discounted distorted expectations across a range of stress levels are employed to model risk acceptability in markets. Interactions between discounting and stress levels used in measure changes are accommodated by lowering discount rates for the higher stress levels. Acceptability...