The aim of this paper is to analyse the out-of-sample performance of SETAR models using daily data for the Euro effective exchange rate. The evaluation is conducted on point, interval and density forecasts. The benchmark used for the comparison is a linear AR model for point forecast evaluation...

We determine the endogenous degree of vertical integration in a model of successive oligopoly that captures both efficiency gains and strategic effects. We show that vertical merger waves can be expected to stop by themselves before integration is complete. Consequently, vertical foreclosure...

In this paper we introduce an overlapping generations structure of the Blanchard (1985) type in a New Open Economy Macroeconomics model. This allows us to study a wider range of fiscal shocks compared to the traditional Mundell-Fleming and to the baseline Redux (Obstfeld and Rogoff 1995, 1996)...

Bilingualism is a widespread phenomenon, yet its economic effects are under researched. Typically studies find that bilingual workers are disadvantaged. Governments often protect minority languages through official promotion of bilingualism, with potential economic consequences. This paper...

In this paper we examine why many professional labor markets are disturbed by cycles in the supply of new workers. We present a model where cycles in labor supply are the consequence of herd behavior in occupational choice. We also present evidence from nearly 150 West German labor markets which...

This paper examines the possibility of reducing attrition bias in panel data using targeted refreshment sampling and matched imputation. The targeted refreshment sampling approach consists of collecting new data from the original sampling population from individuals who would never usually...

Corsetti and Roubini (1991) reported that the government finances of Greece, Ireland, Italy and the Netherlands (now all EMU countries) did not satisfy the intertemporal budget constraint (IBC). We re-examine this issue by utilizing a new empirical approach and extended data set. Structural...

The majority of empirical papers in the literature on school quality finds no or only small effects of class size and other school quality measures on students' outcomes. This paper analyses the effect of achievement heterogeneity and therefore the effect of the composition rather than the pure...

East Asian students regularly take top positions in international league tables of educational performance. Using internationally comparable student-level data, I estimate how family background and schooling policies affect student performance in five high-performing East Asian economies. Family...

Investment in information acquisition can be used strategically by banks as a commitment device to augment market power. A static two-period economy with informationally heterogeneous banks is analyzed. Information acquisition limits asymmetries of information and competitors' rents ex post. If...