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We propose an alternative way of estimating Taylor reaction functions if the zero-lowerbound on nominal interest rates is binding. This approach relies on tackling the real rather than the nominal interest rate. So if the nominal rate is (close to) zero central banks can influence the infl ation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102781
We assess the differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the ECB when using ex-pos data instead of real time forecasts and vice versa.We argue that previous comparative studies i this field mixed up two separate effects. First, the differences resulting from the use of ex-post and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155355
We assess differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the Fed and the ECB before and after the start of the subprime crisis. For this purpose, we apply an explicit estimate of the equilibrium real interest rate and of potential output in order to account for variations within these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144669
This study is motivated by the development of credit-related instruments and signals of stock price movements of large banks during the recent financial crisis. What is common to most of the empirical studies in this field is that they concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128893
In the debate on global imbalances, the euro area countries did not receive much attention so far. While the current account is on balance for the entire area, divergences between individual member states have increased since the introduction of the common currency. In this paper, the imbalances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128894
The recent extensive package introduced by the Commission is the most comprehensive reinforcement of economic governance in the EU and the euro area since the launch of the Economic and Monetary Union. Broader and enhanced surveillance of fiscal policies, but also macroeconomic policies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131811
The current instruments in the EU to deal with debt and liquidity crises include among others the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and the European Financial Stabilisation Mechanism (EFSM). Both are temporary in nature (3 years). In terms of an efficient future crisis management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136117
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138570
Monetary policy rules have been considered as fundamental protection against inflation. However, empirical evidence for a correlation between rules and inflation is relatively weak. In this paper, we first discuss likely causes for this weak link and present the argument that monetary commitment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102702
This study puts the monetary transmission process in the eurozone between 2003 and 2011 under closer scrutiny. For this purpose, we investigate the interest rate pass-through from money market to various loan rates for up to twelve countries of the European Monetary Union. Applying different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102761