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The importance of global shocks for national policy makers : rising challenges for central banks

Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009

We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003884937

Non-standard monetary policy measures : magic wand or tiger by the tail?

Belke, Ansgar - 2013

can be improved through more transparency and “forward guidance”. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195538

Fiscal stimulus packages and uncertainty in times of crisis : the option of waiting can be valuable, though!

Belke, Ansgar (contributor) - 2009

Policymakers in the EU member states are currently shaping rescue packages to prevent the financial crisis hitting their economies with unmitigated force. Each government is responding to the emerging problems with a country-specific set of measures. Given the global nature of the crisis, would...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003811803

Unconventional monetary policy and inflation expectations in the euro area

Aßhoff, Sina; Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2020

Auswirkungen der unkonventionellen Geldpolitik ist nicht trivial, da standardisierte empirische Instrumente wie die VAR … Problem zu lösen. Wir stellen fest, dass die unkonventionelle Geldpolitik zwar kurzfristig zu einem Anstieg der … beigetragen hat. Dennoch deuten sie auf einen durch die unkonventionelle Geldpolitik ausgelösten Anstieg des mittelfristigen …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149519

International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty : a FAVAR approach

Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2017

Building on the growing evidence on the importance of large data sets for empirical macroeconomic modeling, we estimate a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks and check whether the signs, the magnitude, and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011640939

The impact of uncertainty on macro variables : an SVAR-based empirical analysis for EU countries

Belke, Ansgar; Kronen, Dominik - 2017

In light of the rising political and economic uncertainty in Europe, we aim to provide a basic understanding of the impact of economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty on a set of macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption and investment. In this paper, we apply a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662699

The economic impact of Brexit : evidence from modelling free trade agreements

Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - 2017

This paper assesses the economic implications of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union. The basic data on trade in goods and services and investment between the two parties suggest that cost of ‘Brexit’ could be substantial. Trade between the UK and the EU27 is large and of a similar...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662701

Policy uncertainty and international financial markets : the case of Brexit

Belke, Ansgar; Dubova, Irina; Osowski, Thomas - 2016

This study assesses the impact of the uncertainty caused by Brexit, on both the UK and international financial markets, for the first and second statistical moments (i.e. on changes and the standard deviations of the respective variables.) As financial markets are by nature highly interlinked,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570794