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Interest rate bands of inaction and play-hysteresis in domestic investment : evidence for the euro area

Belke, Ansgar; Frenzel Baudisch, Coletta; Göcke, Matthias - 2019

The interest rate represents an important monetary policy tool to steer investment in order to reach price stability …. Therefore, implications of the exact form and magnitude of the interest rate-investment nexus for the European Central Bank … impact of changes in the interest rate on macroeconomic investment under certainty and under uncertainty to investigate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034406

Interest rate hysteresis in macroeconomic investment under uncertainty

Belke, Ansgar; Göcke, Matthias - 2019

important driver of macroeconomic investment. As an innovation, this paper derives the exact shape of the "hysteretic" impact of … changes in the interest rate on macroeconomic investment under the scenarios of certainty and uncertainty. We capture the … direct interest rate-hysteresis effects on investment and the capital stock and, explicitly, stochastic changes of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994756

Real convergence, capital flows, and competitiveness in Central and Eastern Europe

Belke, Ansgar; Schnabl, Gunther; Zemanek, Holger - 2009

The paper scrutinizes the role of wages and capital flows for competitiveness in the new EU member states in the context of real convergence. For this purpose it extends the seminal Balassa-Samuelson model by international capital markets. The augmented Balassa-Samuelson model is linked to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003901015

Current account balances and structural adjustment in the euro area

Zemanek, Holger; Belke, Ansgar; Schnabl, Gunther - 2010

In the past decade, a set of euro area countries has accumulated large current account deficits. After a brief relaxation of the euro area internal imbalances in the wake of the financial crisis, it appears as if this pattern arises anew when times normalize again and Germany still sticks to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950870

Beyond Balassa and Samuelson : real convergence, capital flows, and competitiveness in Greece

Belke, Ansgar; Haskamp, Ulrich; Schnabl, Gunther; … - 2015

We scrutinize the role of capital flows in competitiveness in a set of seven euroarea member countries (Estonia, Greece, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal, Slovenia, and the Slovak Republic) in the context of real convergence and crisis. A specific focus is on Greece. The paper extends the seminal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373258

Current account imbalances in the euro area : catching up or competitiveness?

Belke, Ansgar; Dreger, Christian - 2011

In the debate on global imbalances, the euro area countries did not receive much attention so far. While the current account is on balance for the entire area, divergences between individual member states have increased since the introduction of the common currency. In this paper, the imbalances...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935252

The Euro area imbalances narrative in a Franco-German perspective : the importance of the longer-run view

Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - 2020

There is a symmetrical debate in two Euro area core countries: in France about the restrictive fiscal policy of Germany, leading to a huge external surplus, in Germany about the insufficient compliance with fiscal rules and the lack of structural reforms in France. What are the real causes of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197774

The yen exchange rate and the hollowing out of the Japanese industry

Belke, Ansgar; Volz, Ulrich - 2019

Since the demise of the Bretton Woods system, the yen has seen several episodes of strong appreciation, including in the late 1970s, after the 1985 Plaza Agreement, the early and late 1990s and after 2008. These appreciations have not only been associated with "expensive yen recessions"...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034499

State-of-play in implementing macroeconomic adjustment programmes in the euro area : short version

Gros, Daniel; Alcidi, Cinzia; Belke, Ansgar; Coutinho, … - 2014

Two of the four macroeconomic adjustment programmes, Portugal and Ireland’s, can be considered a success in the sense that the initial expectations in terms of adjustment, both fiscal and external, were broadly fulfilled. A rebound based on exports has taken hold in these two countries, but a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010349252