This paper investigates the effects of the 2015 mass inflow of refugees to Germany on electoral outcomes. Specifically …, using unique data on refugee populations and their type of accommodation, I analyze how local exposure to refugees affects … success of right-wing parties. For identification, I exploit quasi-random variation in the allocation of refugees across …

of asylum seekers and recognized refugees separately. For the group of asylum seekers, I exploit dispersal policies and … locational restrictions and find no impact on crime except for migrationspecific offenses. For the group of recognized refugees … refugees and the overall crime rate, which is driven by non-violent property crimes and frauds. The empirical results prove …