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Stock market uncertainty and monetary policy reaction functions of the Federal Reserve Bank

Jovanović, Mario (contributor); … - 2008

In this paper we examine the link between stock market uncertainty and monetary policy in the US. There are strong arguments why central banks should account for stock market uncertainty in their strategy. Amongst others, they can maintain the functioning of financial markets and moderate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003785054

US-euro area monetary policy interdependence : new evidence from Taylor Rule based VECMs

Belke, Ansgar (contributor); Cui, Yuhua (contributor) - 2009

This paper analyses the monetary policy interdependence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) for the period 1999-2006. Two models are specified: a partial Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and a general VECM. In the partial VECM, we look for a long-run...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003811795

Does government ideology matter in monetary policy? : a panel data analysis for OECD countries

Belke, Ansgar; Potrafke, Niklas - 2009

This paper examines the effect of government ideology on monetary policy in a quarterly data set of 15 OECD countries in the period 1980.1-2005.4. Our Taylor-rule specification focuses on the interactions of a new time-variant indicator for central bank independence and government ideology. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003824728

The importance of global shocks for national policy makers : rising challenges for central banks

Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009

We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003884937

(How) do the ECB and the Fed react to financial market uncertainty? : the Taylor rule in times of crisis

Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2010

We assess differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the Fed and the ECB before and after the start of the subprime crisis. For this purpose, we apply an explicit estimate of the equilibrium real interest rate and of potential output in order to account for variations within these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931391

Monetary policy, global liquidity and commodity price dynamics

Belke, Ansgar; Bordon, Ingo G.; Hendricks, Torben - 2010

This paper examines the interactions between money, interest rates, goods and commodity prices at a global level. For this purpose, we aggregate data for major OECD countries and follow the Johansen/Juselius cointegrated VAR approach. Our empirical model supports the view that, when controlling...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931399

Does the ECB rely on a Taylor rule? : comparing ex-post with real time data

Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2009

We assess the differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the ECB when using ex-post data instead of real time forecasts and vice versa.We argue that previous comparative studies in this field mixed up two separate effects. First, the differences resulting from the use of ex-post and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003877669

Financial crisis, global liquidity and monetary exit strategies

Belke, Ansgar - 2010

We develop a roadmap of how the ECB should further reduce the volume of money (money supply) and roll back credit easing in order to prevent inflation. The exits should be step-by-step rather than one-off . Communicating about the exit strategy must be an integral part of the exit strategy....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961040

The credibility of monetary policy announcements : empirical evidence for OECD countries since the 1960s

Belke, Ansgar; Freytag, Andreas; Keil, Jonas; … - 2012

Diese Arbeit untersucht den Einfluss der Glaubwürdigkeit von Geldpolitik auf die Preisstabilität. Eine regelgebundene … Geldpolitik wird häufig als ein wichtiges Instrument zur Erreichung von Preisstabilität angesehen. In empirischen Studien ist der … Zusammenhang zwischen einer regelgebundenen Geldpolitik und der Inflation jedoch häufig nur relativ schwach ausgeprägt. In der …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580097

Empirical evidence on the generalized Taylor principle

Jovanović, Mario - 2012

During financial crises central banks usually decrease interest rates in order to reduce financial uncertainty. This behavior increases inflation risk. The trade-off between inflation and uncertainty stabilization can be modeled by the generalized Taylor rule, which describes inflation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580165