According to our forecast, the period 2017–2018 will see renewed growth of practically every main socioeconomic activity index, even under the scenario geared to a persistently unfavorable external situation. The economy will be able to show only weak growth at a rate of 2% в per annum....

Developments that unfolded in Q1 2016, particularly the decline of crude oil prices down to a 12-year low, may result in worse-than-expected outcomes at 2016 year-end. Unlike the forecast that we made in January, we have revised down our 2016 baseline scenario for GDP growth rates from -1.4% to...

A tax maneuver in the oil and oil refining industries contributed to some changes in the pattern of production of petrochemicals: the total volume of oil refining decreased, while the volume of production of motor gasoline increased somewhat. It is to be noted that the tax maneuver had an effect...

Russia's foreign trade turnover continued to fall in Q1 2016. Unlike 2015, exports fell at faster pace than imports. At the same time, the rouble exchange rate moved synchronously with imports for two straight years. The structure of exports saw a few (non-fuel) commodities change in terms of...

Exports in Russia dropped to $129.7bn in H1 2016, representing 71.3% and 50.8% of what they were in H1 2015 and H1 2014, respectively. Russia's share of global exports of all goods stood at 2.1% at 2015 year end, down 6 p.p. from 2.7% in 2014. The share of Russia exports in global markets of...